☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯900923   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1320    |0.7140    |0.5570    |0.3450    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1340    |0.4940    |0.2890    |0.2090    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.3340    |7.1120    |7.0600    |6.0630    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.0890    |10.0350   |7.8900    |5.6880    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|3.5498    |4.4606    |4.5711    |3.7819    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5030    |1.3707    |0.9034    |0.6910    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|692086.90 |2293567.64|1694589.53|1132791.17|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |6219.59   |82641.46  |52381.45  |32279.77  |
|净利润(万元)      |5679.63   |30631.67  |23914.85  |14800.91  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0890    |0.2890    |0.2700    |0.1700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1020    |0.2700    |0.2070    |0.1610    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.9750    |5.0410    |3.9040    |3.8040    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |2.7940    |2.8030    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.2390    |5.7410    |6.9090    |4.4690    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.7543    |3.0031    |1.7556    |1.7556    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.5973    |0.8057    |0.6111    |0.5113    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|619394.59 |2118470.62|1545858.37|1049536.40|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |3516.38   |18044.27  |10433.66  |7116.56   |
|净利润(万元)      |3820.39   |12420.94  |10210.49  |6428.26   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1320    |0.7140    |0.2890    |0.3140    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1340    |0.4940    |0.2700    |0.2250    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.3340    |7.1120    |5.0410    |3.6770    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|3.5498    |4.4606    |3.0031    |1.6487    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5030    |1.3707    |0.8057    |0.4913    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |2.2722    |6.4928    |5.0976    |2.6709    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |1.4859    |6.0986    |3.1842    |0.8557    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|692086.90 |2293567.64|2118470.62|1810668.67|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |314259.34 |
|经营费用(万元)    |105387.77 |372556.65 |370037.44 |266782.64 |
|管理费用(万元)    |12269.04  |48010.82  |38894.13  |37351.62  |
|财务费用(万元)    |403.75    |2550.25   |3167.29   |3230.17   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |11.42     |2.67      |34.07     |30.16     |
|营业利润(万元)    |18943.68  |105744.05 |42148.33  |27366.21  |
|投资收益(万元)    |6219.59   |82641.46  |18044.27  |10927.31  |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |1597.14   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-292.69   |-19803.24 |1109.50   |3107.94   |
|利润总额(万元)    |18650.99  |85940.80  |43257.82  |42998.60  |
|所得税(万元)      |3370.23   |26916.58  |13316.31  |12161.09  |
|净利润(万元)      |5679.63   |30631.67  |12420.94  |13496.08  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |19.45     |20.21     |20.92     |17.69     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |17.36     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.09      |10.04     |5.74      |8.55      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |2.72      |9.07      |8.58      |9.53      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |83.33     |320.60    |490.23    |176.28    |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.45      |1.68      |1.98      |2.17      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |11.74     |8.27      |17.00     |31.66     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |6.44      |150.89    |54.02     |22.21     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |48.67     |146.61    |-7.97     |2.51      |
|净资产增长率(%)   |59.34     |41.09     |37.07     |5.09      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |29.11     |28.76     |26.67     |29.96     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |1565089.69|1538659.38|1194983.76|943358.12 |
|负债总额(万元)  |1091661.39|1041062.12|805906.15 |611582.46 |
|流动负债(万元)  |1043238.98|980994.61 |760766.71 |581888.36 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |29694.10  |
|货币资金(万元)  |602163.56 |538386.71 |276635.83 |139968.54 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |8345.55   |8265.03   |6042.84   |2599.84   |
|其他应收款(万元)|22495.30  |17454.88  |40303.70  |17720.10  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |271832.99 |305243.52 |216350.74 |157836.27 |
|资产负债率(%)   |69.7507   |67.6603   |67.4407   |64.8303   |
|股东权益比率(%) |17.3685   |19.8382   |18.1049   |16.7313   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.8371    |0.8495    |0.7260    |0.6811    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.6499    |0.6305    |0.4782    |0.3340    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |906964.96 |2821358.60|2685719.81|2146393.56|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |97523.29  |278670.16 |218791.59 |114637.08 |
|现金净流量(万元)|63776.85  |261750.88 |136667.29 |36729.72  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-11.03    |27.36     |90.85     |39.52     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |131.0478  |123.0118  |126.7764  |118.5415  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |849.4100  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |272.1510  |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-36708.21 |16934.13  |-64842.92 |-54739.21 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |2961.77   |-33819.96 |-17280.82 |-23173.17 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |602163.56     |365574.12     |64.72       |
|应交税金(万元)      |12307.51      |6128.75       |100.82      |
|递延税款贷项(万元)  |17595.23      |446.05        |3844.64     |
|资本公积(万元)      |152355.93     |75292.06      |102.35      |
|盈余公积(万元)      |12047.61      |26755.13      |-54.97      |
|未分配利润(万元)    |64509.77      |25636.76      |151.63      |
|支付其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |69354.35      |32718.51      |111.97      |
|收回投资所          |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |28855.56      |15060.23      |91.60       |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |34426.69      |21701.59      |58.64       |
|投资所支付的现金    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |52241.75      |27437.57      |90.40       |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |71134.90      |40090.20      |77.44       |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-36708.21     |-18388.61     |-99.62      |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |16500.00      |8500.00       |94.12       |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |16500.00      |10800.00      |52.78       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   619394.59|     27.01|     3820.39|     12.47|
|第二季度      |   513396.57|     22.38|    10980.52|     35.85|
|第三季度      |   561798.36|     24.49|     9113.93|     29.75|
|第四季度      |   598978.11|     26.12|     6716.82|     21.93|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   550945.30|     26.01|     3242.21|     26.10|
|第二季度      |   513362.85|     24.23|     3186.04|     25.65|
|第三季度      |   501132.84|     23.66|     3782.23|     30.45|
|第四季度      |   553029.62|     26.11|     2210.45|     17.80|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.1085|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.0489|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0486|    1.9847|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.2490|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.7688|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |      0.53|     -1.97|      4.18|     -0.85|
|总资产现金回收率      |     12.08|      8.85|      8.41|      6.14|
|净利润率              |      1.19|      1.03|      1.73|      1.62|
|应收帐款              |     -0.81|     -2.00|      0.35|     -2.33|
|经营预警综合指数      |      3.86|      1.87|      4.19|      1.44|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -2.11|     -1.22|     -1.43|     -0.71|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -1.83|      1.23|     -5.67|     -0.27|
|留存盈利              |    -16.51|      4.05|     -2.71|      1.62|
|净资产收益率          |    145.10|    112.22|    122.83|    205.73|
|投资预警综合指数      |     24.54|     23.25|     21.89|     41.18|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.94|      0.93|      0.93|      0.80|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.94|      0.93|      0.93|      0.80|
|支付现金股利          |      0.86|      0.75|      0.95|      1.00|
|银行贷款率            |      0.92|      0.94|      0.87|      1.00|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.95|      0.93|      0.91|      0.81|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      9.18|      7.99|      8.52|     13.20|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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