☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200986   更新日期:2008-04-23◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0370    |0.2170    |0.1560    |0.0920    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0370    |0.2057    |0.1560    |0.0920    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.4800    |2.4400    |2.3400    |2.6400    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.5000    |8.8900    |6.6600    |3.5000    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5021    |0.5021    |0.5021    |0.5774    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7392    |0.7020    |0.6199    |0.8086    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|42953.96  |126951.04 |70940.61  |32798.13  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1587.48   |9423.90   |7218.20   |3968.10   |
|净利润(万元)      |1878.64   |10965.34  |7887.47   |4054.18   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0400    |0.1800    |0.1400    |0.0870    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0400    |0.1753    |0.1400    |0.0870    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.6000    |2.6100    |2.5700    |2.5100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |2.5500    |2.5000    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.5600    |7.9400    |5.6100    |3.4670    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5774    |0.5774    |0.5774    |0.5774    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7739    |0.7777    |0.7592    |0.7021    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|13946.92  |67354.37  |40119.48  |26720.70  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1736.23   |9091.67   |6588.98   |3990.57   |
|净利润(万元)      |1788.24   |9098.10   |6396.29   |3866.50   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0370    |0.2170    |0.1800    |0.1590    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0370    |0.2057    |0.1753    |0.1600    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.4800    |2.4400    |2.6100    |2.4300    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5021    |0.5021    |0.5774    |0.5774    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7392    |0.7020    |0.7777    |0.6150    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.1204    |0.1326    |-0.3030   |0.0853    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.0311    |-0.0972   |-0.1022   |-0.0301   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|42953.96  |126951.04 |67354.37  |60412.65  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |5996.52   |
|经营费用(万元)    |1115.10   |3176.02   |1594.04   |1788.26   |
|管理费用(万元)    |1745.87   |5465.93   |4000.15   |3977.85   |
|财务费用(万元)    |1830.45   |4732.45   |131.39    |-121.80   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |224.07    |133.59    |1.44      |-8.47     |
|营业利润(万元)    |2027.95   |11435.41  |9251.59   |439.37    |
|投资收益(万元)    |1587.48   |9423.90   |9091.67   |6918.18   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |29.15     |379.43    |108.15    |-20.90    |
|利润总额(万元)    |2057.10   |11814.84  |9359.75   |7336.66   |
|所得税(万元)      |17.26     |75.94     |17.37     |106.15    |
|净利润(万元)      |1878.64   |10965.34  |9098.10   |7001.86   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |11.99     |12.64     |8.58      |9.96      |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |9.93      |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.50      |8.89      |7.94      |6.57      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.77      |6.86      |5.47      |6.30      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.79      |6.99      |7.11      |6.41      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.14      |0.44      |0.27      |0.32      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |208.17    |88.48     |11.49     |1.98      |
|营业利润增长率(%) |6.88      |23.60     |2005.63   |-84.10    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |5.06      |20.52     |29.94     |-22.16    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |9.38      |7.65      |7.45      |7.03      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |8.16      |9.18      |27.03     |36.92     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |305627.83 |302174.19 |276779.28 |217889.99 |
|负债总额(万元)  |161890.82 |159829.63 |143944.46 |93224.81  |
|流动负债(万元)  |140732.32 |141764.14 |109833.02 |49439.52  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |43785.29  |
|货币资金(万元)  |7949.40   |6376.73   |11289.97  |15783.34  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |21602.00  |26374.68  |9928.84   |9009.62   |
|其他应收款(万元)|689.22    |2106.03   |642.53    |608.37    |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |125200.80 |123322.16 |114554.32 |106616.71 |
|资产负债率(%)   |52.9699   |52.8932   |52.0069   |42.7852   |
|股东权益比率(%) |40.9651   |40.8116   |41.3883   |48.9314   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.4934    |0.4463    |0.4113    |0.8109    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.3225    |0.3146    |0.2868    |0.6318    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |35606.69  |87651.72  |55171.57  |70553.66  |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |6085.70   |6703.95   |-13317.92 |3752.42   |
|现金净流量(万元)|1572.67   |-4913.24  |-4493.36  |-1326.72  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |1036.41   |-67.74    |453.83    |-35.68    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |82.8950   |69.0437   |81.9124   |116.7862  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |53.5918   |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-18.9481  |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-1663.25  |-19750.48 |-30240.66 |-53122.19 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-2849.79  |8133.29   |39065.21  |48043.05  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收票据(万元)      |10709.76      |2987.90       |258.44      |
|存货(万元)          |24051.17      |15107.67      |59.20       |
|固定资产净额(万元)  |205557.70     |64564.14      |218.38      |
|在建工程(万元)      |3852.84       |141409.01     |-97.28      |
|其他应付款(万元)    |1151.17       |46422.86      |-97.52      |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |25560.93      |11500.00      |122.27      |
|其他流动负债(万元)  |41716.50      |335.14        |12347.47    |
|主营业务收入(万元)  |42953.96      |13938.47      |208.17      |
|减:                 |              |              |            |
|主营业务成本(万元)  |37804.41      |12325.55      |206.72      |
|销售商品、提供劳    |              |              |            |
|务收到的现金(万元)  |35606.69      |15810.45      |125.21      |
|(经营)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |44249.36      |22803.90      |94.04       |
|购买商品、接受劳务  |              |              |            |
|支付的现金(万元)    |32218.83      |14456.74      |122.86      |
|(经营)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |38163.66      |22268.39      |71.38       |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |6085.70       |535.52        |1036.41     |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |19395.14      |10374.26      |86.95       |
|支付其他与筹资      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |-             |6000.00       |-100.00     |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    13938.47|     10.98|     1788.24|     16.31|
|第二季度      |    18859.66|     14.86|     2265.94|     20.66|
|第三季度      |    38142.49|     30.05|     3833.29|     34.96|
|第四季度      |    56010.43|     44.12|     3077.87|     28.07|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    14387.82|     21.36|     1750.76|     19.24|
|第二季度      |    12485.09|     18.54|     2115.73|     23.25|
|第三季度      |    13700.19|     20.34|     2529.79|     27.81|
|第四季度      |    26781.26|     39.76|     2701.82|     29.70|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.2332|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1612|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0508|    1.0133|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.7733|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.5621|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.94|     -1.00|     -0.13|     -1.07|
|总资产现金回收率      |      2.15|     26.56|      2.38|     -1.66|
|净利润率              |      0.72|      0.99|      1.03|      1.58|
|应收帐款              |      0.05|      0.19|     -0.25|      0.17|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.52|      7.90|      0.83|     -0.47|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.82|     -0.99|     -5.25|     -1.05|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.16|     -0.86|     -1.14|     -2.13|
|留存盈利              |      0.72|    206.06|    -43.12|     -5.83|
|净资产收益率          |    149.50|    167.50|    185.67|    243.99|
|投资预警综合指数      |     29.75|     74.16|     26.59|     46.68|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.20|      0.31|      0.50|      0.13|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.20|      0.31|      0.50|      0.13|
|支付现金股利          |      0.35|      0.99|      0.72|     -2.82|
|银行贷款率            |          |      0.04|      0.57|     -1.17|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.44|      0.80|      0.79|      0.48|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      9.21|     25.58|      8.50|     13.53|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   无警   |   轻警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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