☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200869   更新日期:2008-04-19◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.5200    |1.2100    |0.7800    |0.5200    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.5126    |1.2000    |0.7760    |0.5200    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.7400    |4.2300    |3.8217    |3.5600    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |10.8600   |28.5200   |20.3600   |14.5450   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.0568    |1.0568    |1.0568    |1.0568    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.1245    |1.6093    |1.2004    |0.9402    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|126476.02 |273016.61 |205331.46 |143919.66 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |103.34    |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |27163.79  |63562.78  |41034.53  |27313.87  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.3700    |0.7500    |0.5560    |0.3800    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.3700    |0.7500    |0.5570    |0.3800    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.2138    |3.8200    |3.5260    |3.3500    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |3.5260    |3.3500    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |8.7900    |19.5800   |15.7800   |11.3300   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.0568    |1.0568    |1.0568    |1.0568    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5925    |1.2039    |0.9921    |0.8152    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|99575.29  |216727.49 |160208.21 |112966.15 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |0.61      |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |19527.56  |39451.70  |29560.89  |20191.78  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.5200    |1.2100    |0.7500    |0.7700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.5126    |1.2000    |0.7500    |0.7700    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.7400    |4.2300    |3.8200    |4.5600    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.0568    |1.0568    |1.0568    |1.6738    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.1245    |1.6093    |1.2039    |1.2665    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |1.6364    |1.5478    |0.7549    |0.8026    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |1.0057    |0.3483    |0.1778    |0.2518    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|126476.02 |273016.61 |216727.49 |180437.59 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |105571.88 |
|经营费用(万元)    |37299.99  |62464.68  |50133.36  |48922.18  |
|管理费用(万元)    |7494.48   |17796.61  |21630.15  |14651.90  |
|财务费用(万元)    |-1085.93  |-2337.98  |-2120.38  |-2166.66  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |39.12     |11.88     |13.41     |43.74     |
|营业利润(万元)    |36412.49  |94828.13  |56535.04  |44399.16  |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |103.34    |0.61      |78.30     |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |177.89    |116.21    |-32.72    |-134.75   |
|利润总额(万元)    |36590.38  |94944.34  |56502.32  |44342.71  |
|所得税(万元)      |9369.37   |31054.88  |16750.36  |13004.19  |
|净利润(万元)      |27163.79  |63562.78  |39451.70  |31236.96  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |69.84     |69.71     |66.65     |65.05     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |58.51     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |10.86     |28.52     |19.58     |16.89     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.48      |1.07      |1.16      |1.33      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |15.03     |35.45     |32.85     |31.02     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.35      |0.90      |0.84      |0.80      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |27.02     |25.97     |20.11     |34.81     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |29.70     |67.73     |27.33     |38.62     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |39.10     |61.12     |26.30     |53.03     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |12.55     |10.61     |8.94      |6.30      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |26.87     |15.64     |19.76     |8.41      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |399128.30 |325122.45 |281155.66 |234768.44 |
|负债总额(万元)  |140469.39 |93684.54  |74273.68  |46020.09  |
|流动负债(万元)  |140469.39 |93684.54  |74273.68  |46020.09  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|货币资金(万元)  |215174.87 |132289.86 |119247.56 |116114.11 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |8582.40   |8249.02   |7151.93   |6043.40   |
|其他应收款(万元)|1717.22   |2458.16   |2267.19   |3747.65   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |250065.82 |222902.04 |201521.66 |184976.98 |
|资产负债率(%)   |35.1940   |28.8151   |26.4172   |19.6023   |
|股东权益比率(%) |62.6529   |68.5594   |71.6761   |78.7912   |
|流动比率(%)     |2.1725    |2.4830    |2.7633    |3.9459    |
|速动比率(%)     |1.6400    |1.5907    |1.8008    |2.7941    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |171324.63 |344001.76 |253991.98 |211572.32 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |86284.96  |81616.12  |39807.44  |32553.95  |
|现金净流量(万元)|53032.65  |18365.18  |9375.15   |10216.54  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |77.35     |105.02    |22.28     |42.36     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |135.4602  |126.0003  |117.1942  |117.2551  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |104.2161  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |32.7066   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-33252.31 |-24368.54 |-2040.29  |-2057.41  |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-         |-38882.40 |-28392.00 |-20280.00 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|预收账款(万元)      |20915.46      |9534.24       |119.37      |
|应付工资(万元)      |16694.40      |10751.21      |55.28       |
|应交税金(万元)      |41167.07      |19369.19      |112.54      |
|其他应付款(万元)    |45025.88      |28930.62      |55.63       |
|流动负债合计(万元)  |140469.39     |84838.56      |65.57       |
|负债合计(万元)      |140469.39     |84838.56      |65.57       |
|减:营业费用(万元)   |37299.99      |24773.12      |50.57       |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |86284.96      |48650.29      |77.36       |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |9431.13       |149.03        |6228.26     |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |4433.44       |9624.50       |-53.94      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |53032.65      |4456.09       |1090.12     |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |138686.12     |71744.38      |93.31       |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |53032.65      |4456.09       |1090.12     |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    99575.29|     36.47|    19527.56|     30.72|
|第二季度      |    44344.37|     16.24|     7786.30|     12.25|
|第三季度      |    61411.80|     22.49|    13720.66|     21.59|
|第四季度      |    67685.15|     24.79|    22528.25|     35.44|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    81140.73|     37.44|    14981.58|     37.97|
|第二季度      |    32207.53|     14.86|     5210.20|     13.21|
|第三季度      |    47649.77|     21.99|     9369.11|     23.75|
|第四季度      |    55729.46|     25.71|     9890.81|     25.07|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.4126|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.3548|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.3558|    3.7146|    无警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      1.7802|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.2675|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.82|     -0.79|     -0.90|     -1.12|
|总资产现金回收率      |          |    114.99|          |          |
|净利润率              |      1.35|      0.88|      0.75|      2.67|
|应收帐款              |      0.52|      0.36|      0.22|      0.10|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.13|     34.51|     -0.08|      0.22|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.94|     -0.70|     -1.61|     -1.01|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.92|     -0.38|     -1.27|     -1.22|
|留存盈利              |     -1.01|      1.44|      4.11|     -6.85|
|净资产收益率          |    194.50|    159.83|    130.00|    209.86|
|投资预警综合指数      |     38.14|     31.93|     25.96|     39.93|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |          |      0.99|          |          |
|经营现金流入利息支出比|          |      0.99|          |          |
|支付现金股利          |      2.19|      0.76|      0.89|     -0.59|
|银行贷款率            |      0.11|      0.91|      0.43|     -0.24|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      1.00|      1.00|      1.00|      1.00|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     11.76|     23.65|      7.92|     12.06|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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