☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200037   更新日期:2008-04-26◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0716    |0.2200    |0.0756    |0.0468    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0630    |0.0300    |-0.0169   |0.0467    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.2200    |3.1500    |2.9720    |2.9400    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.2200    |6.8500    |2.5500    |1.5900    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.6636    |0.6636    |0.6242    |0.6242    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.9512    |0.8796    |0.5790    |0.5501    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|98494.64  |362012.40 |269262.79 |146461.32 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |3922.62   |11808.60  |4145.32   |2563.23   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0020    |0.1200    |-0.0830   |-0.0730   |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0020    |0.1000    |-0.6300   |-0.3981   |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.8980    |2.9000    |2.7000    |2.7100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |2.6200    |2.5800    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.0600    |3.9800    |-3.0500   |-2.6800   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.6242    |0.6298    |0.6273    |0.6273    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.5051    |0.6871    |0.3254    |0.3352    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|59554.54  |387457.90 |275467.99 |160083.76 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |220.60    |668.00    |668.00    |
|净利润(万元)      |98.29     |6313.30   |-4521.15  |-3986.00  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0716    |0.2200    |0.1200    |0.0500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0630    |0.0300    |0.1000    |-0.1600   |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.2200    |3.1500    |2.9000    |2.7800    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.6636    |0.6636    |0.6298    |0.6273    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.9512    |0.8796    |0.6871    |0.4079    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.4037   |0.3698    |-0.2394   |1.0276    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.3310    |-0.6157   |0.5766    |-0.5002   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|98494.64  |362012.40 |387457.90 |303068.20 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-641.62   |
|经营费用(万元)    |61.68     |216.50    |465.80    |-         |
|管理费用(万元)    |3040.50   |10341.00  |8814.60   |6320.33   |
|财务费用(万元)    |3212.90   |12698.10  |11965.60  |6329.51   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |12.22     |9.45      |67.95     |-         |
|营业利润(万元)    |-28864.17 |-41125.50 |-39537.70 |-11937.38 |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |220.60    |1064.97   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |12127.10  |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |34247.60  |50621.80  |44968.90  |-244.12   |
|利润总额(万元)    |5383.43   |9496.30   |5431.20   |1010.57   |
|所得税(万元)      |1228.27   |-258.30   |-298.00   |264.93    |
|净利润(万元)      |3922.62   |11808.60  |6313.30   |2991.97   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |-22.79    |-4.64     |-4.44     |-0.05     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |-0.21     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.22      |6.85      |3.98      |1.96      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |2.41      |10.13     |9.99      |8.92      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.43      |6.00      |9.50      |13.07     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.17      |0.70      |0.86      |0.75      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |65.39     |-6.57     |27.85     |24.58     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-299.20   |-4.02     |-231.21   |-129.39   |
|税后利润增长率(%) |3890.70   |87.04     |111.01    |-93.20    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |11.09     |8.71      |4.03      |-13.90    |
|总资产增长率(%)   |36.73     |16.37     |12.79     |11.29     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |613916.58 |555291.50 |477175.80 |423048.63 |
|负债总额(万元)  |423142.06 |368670.47 |297738.00 |253221.57 |
|流动负债(万元)  |407042.06 |351070.47 |264717.70 |211498.13 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |41723.44  |
|货币资金(万元)  |60056.16  |41917.23  |62351.40  |30752.65  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |75342.56  |61934.39  |58688.40  |22923.15  |
|其他应收款(万元)|7824.14   |3372.31   |8140.10   |11017.51  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |176424.56 |172501.90 |158682.40 |152537.32 |
|资产负债率(%)   |68.9250   |66.3922   |62.3958   |59.8563   |
|股东权益比率(%) |28.7375   |31.0651   |33.2544   |36.0566   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.5179    |0.4204    |0.6478    |0.5365    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.3622    |0.3156    |0.5044    |0.3330    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |147835.36 |419105.00 |411873.00 |365185.73 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-22123.76 |20267.00  |-13119.40 |56313.47  |
|现金净流量(万元)|18138.93  |-33742.40 |31598.70  |-27412.46 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-223.33   |-234.47   |-123.29   |13.05     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |150.0948  |115.7709  |106.3014  |120.4962  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |1882.1546 |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-916.2013 |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-2987.85  |-15201.50 |-11566.20 |-65212.26 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |43256.03  |-38967.70 |56331.20  |-20205.27 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收账款(万元)      |75342.56      |44953.44      |67.60       |
|其他应收款(万元)    |7824.14       |17248.31      |-54.64      |
|存货(万元)          |63392.37      |35943.18      |76.37       |
|固定资产清理(万元)  |9444.23       |0.12          |8023888.67  |
|无形资产(万元)      |106722.18     |3407.95       |3031.57     |
|短期借款(万元)      |295543.96     |163070.17     |81.24       |
|应付账款(万元)      |19104.45      |-4428.88      |531.36      |
|预收账款(万元)      |92.08         |10569.52      |-99.13      |
|应交税金(万元)      |-16641.37     |-7925.97      |-109.96     |
|其他应付款(万元)    |64681.01      |9498.19       |580.98      |
|流动负债合计(万元)  |407042.06     |226063.40     |80.06       |
|长期借款(万元)      |16100.00      |44549.08      |-63.86      |
|负债合计(万元)      |423142.06     |270612.49     |56.36       |
|未分配利润(万元)    |52122.25      |27678.46      |88.31       |
|主营业务收入(万元)  |98494.64      |59554.54      |65.39       |
|减:                 |              |              |            |
|主营业务成本(万元)  |120941.41     |61114.91      |97.89       |
|营业利润(万元)      |-28864.17     |-7230.41      |-299.20     |
|加:营业外收入(万元) |34282.96      |6326.09       |441.93      |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |27583.07      |6366.94       |333.22      |
|(经营)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |175418.43     |106111.54     |65.32       |
|购买商品、接受劳务  |              |              |            |
|支付的现金(万元)    |168144.74     |82517.07      |103.77      |
|支付其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |22856.49      |651.69        |3407.26     |
|(经营)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |197542.19     |88174.02      |124.04      |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |2987.85       |12031.25      |-75.17      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |2987.85       |12031.25      |-75.17      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-2987.85      |-12010.35     |75.12       |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |184293.06     |71217.89      |158.77      |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |186362.81     |71217.89      |161.68      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |43256.03      |-26026.15     |266.20      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    59554.54|     16.45|       98.29|      0.83|
|第二季度      |    86906.78|     24.01|     2464.93|     20.87|
|第三季度      |   122801.46|     33.92|     1582.10|     13.40|
|第四季度      |    92749.61|     25.62|     7663.28|     64.90|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    75442.61|     19.47|      632.37|     10.02|
|第二季度      |    85504.75|     22.07|    -4618.37|    -73.15|
|第三季度      |   115848.41|     29.90|     -535.15|     -8.48|
|第四季度      |   110662.12|     28.56|    10834.45|    171.61|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.3195|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1391|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0560|    0.8783|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.4169|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.6417|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.89|     -1.86|      3.09|     -0.43|
|总资产现金回收率      |      3.71|    -15.01|      4.02|      2.38|
|净利润率              |      5.21|      7.82|      7.24|      6.42|
|应收帐款              |     -0.43|     -0.70|     -0.55|     -1.00|
|经营预警综合指数      |      1.80|     -3.63|      3.47|      1.67|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -5.07|     -0.77|     -1.37|     -7.05|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -1.00|     37.12|     -5.98|     -1.03|
|留存盈利              |     -1.82|     -2.06|     -1.73|     -1.23|
|净资产收益率          |    412.67|    493.33|    582.78|    371.93|
|投资预警综合指数      |     80.35|    109.16|    114.00|     71.71|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.42|      0.56|      0.74|      0.69|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.42|      0.56|      0.74|      0.69|
|支付现金股利          |      0.99|      1.02|      1.27|      2.41|
|银行贷款率            |      0.45|      0.32|      0.71|      0.56|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.29|      0.63|      0.82|      0.74|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     25.00|     31.49|     35.86|     22.54|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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