☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000629   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0500    |0.3100    |0.2200    |0.1500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0500    |0.2800    |0.2200    |0.1600    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.2500    |3.2000    |2.9900    |2.9200    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.6000    |9.0500    |7.4200    |5.2600    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.3012    |1.3003    |1.1249    |1.1249    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6877    |0.6356    |0.6011    |0.5329    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|595445.10 |2119779.72|1561742.52|1002617.21|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |25.52     |95.08     |65.99     |6.16      |
|净利润(万元)      |17105.75  |95093.03  |67850.56  |46996.39  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0800    |0.3000    |0.2500    |0.1800    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0800    |0.3100    |0.2600    |0.1800    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.4900    |3.5600    |3.3500    |3.2800    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |3.3400    |3.2800    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.1800    |10.1300   |7.5600    |5.5400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.4499    |1.5709    |1.4455    |1.4455    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7289    |0.6860    |0.6214    |0.5497    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|468550.56 |1744550.94|1108305.20|668953.82 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1.70      |414.35    |382.97    |385.72    |
|净利润(万元)      |19370.30  |91794.82  |64490.42  |46232.65  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0500    |0.3100    |0.3000    |0.4800    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0500    |0.2800    |0.3100    |0.4800    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.2500    |3.2000    |3.5600    |4.7400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.3012    |1.3003    |1.5709    |2.1672    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6877    |0.6356    |0.6860    |1.1524    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.0368    |0.2880    |0.4382    |1.4853    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.0044    |-0.0336   |0.0241    |0.1181    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|595445.10 |2119779.72|1744550.94|1520921.42|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |208833.81 |
|经营费用(万元)    |14130.96  |69837.78  |46033.70  |44564.81  |
|管理费用(万元)    |32203.59  |99781.19  |90939.59  |59364.03  |
|财务费用(万元)    |8167.80   |36575.63  |18071.40  |6543.82   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |28.63     |32.99     |40.34     |46.95     |
|营业利润(万元)    |21418.13  |110953.48 |103106.60 |94133.51  |
|投资收益(万元)    |25.52     |95.08     |414.35    |72.11     |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |334.94    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-50.07    |-5556.80  |-3564.93  |-3136.69  |
|利润总额(万元)    |21368.06  |105396.68 |99541.67  |91403.87  |
|所得税(万元)      |3441.04   |5871.36   |5566.96   |8029.21   |
|净利润(万元)      |17105.75  |95093.03  |91794.82  |81132.89  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |13.30     |16.11     |15.17     |14.27     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |13.73     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.60      |9.05      |10.13     |10.07     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.71      |6.24      |6.00      |7.71      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |26.92     |118.94    |124.02    |53.36     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.26      |0.98      |1.03      |1.22      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |27.08     |21.51     |14.70     |13.17     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-6.69     |7.61      |9.53      |-4.18     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-11.69    |3.59      |13.14     |-1.58     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |19.89     |15.92     |12.49     |7.42      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |9.50      |12.31     |49.36     |20.26     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |2323635.64|2282527.84|2032281.27|1360652.30|
|负债总额(万元)  |1225351.33|1202441.16|1110694.39|545912.41 |
|流动负债(万元)  |672371.57 |634705.94 |632713.90 |375364.91 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |170547.50 |
|货币资金(万元)  |46336.18  |44863.13  |50811.73  |44656.92  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |19500.23  |24735.66  |10909.00  |17223.64  |
|其他应收款(万元)|4231.49   |3598.24   |3411.35   |10270.48  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |1067697.37|1050321.02|906053.50 |805436.69 |
|资产负债率(%)   |52.7342   |52.6802   |54.6525   |40.1213   |
|股东权益比率(%) |45.9494   |46.0156   |44.5830   |59.1948   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.9871    |0.9864    |0.8217    |0.9508    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.5028    |0.5496    |0.3596    |0.4149    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |505116.16 |1354097.38|1979467.02|2032952.03|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |12085.72  |94593.60  |111687.48 |252343.47 |
|现金净流量(万元)|1473.05   |-11058.60 |6154.81   |20080.90  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |95.35     |-15.30    |-55.73    |67.44     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |84.8300   |63.8792   |113.4657  |133.6658  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |311.0249  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |24.7506   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-1623.39  |-160540.06|-537989.82|-254664.35|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-9467.59  |54852.61  |432643.20 |22316.28  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|预付账款(万元)      |72397.88      |23410.50      |209.25      |
|递延税款借项(万元)  |7788.49       |1838.32       |323.67      |
|短期借款(万元)      |98960.08      |48884.67      |102.44      |
|预收账款(万元)      |91163.62      |53237.45      |71.24       |
|应付工资(万元)      |4613.43       |29197.21      |-84.20      |
|应交税金(万元)      |22485.20      |12414.28      |81.12       |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |17000.00      |78200.00      |-78.26      |
|递延税款贷项(万元)  |5526.15       |192.37        |2772.63     |
|少数股东权益(万元   |30586.94      |15746.37      |94.25       |
|减:管理费用(万元)   |32203.59      |20439.65      |57.55       |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |12085.72      |6186.48       |95.36       |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |1623.39       |52327.56      |-96.90      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |1623.39       |54854.80      |-97.04      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-1623.39      |-54808.14     |97.04       |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-9467.59      |35545.79      |-126.63     |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |1473.05       |-13206.32     |111.15      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |1473.05       |-13206.32     |111.15      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   468550.56|     22.10|    19370.30|     20.37|
|第二季度      |   534066.66|     25.19|    27626.09|     29.05|
|第三季度      |   559125.30|     26.38|    20854.17|     21.93|
|第四季度      |   558037.20|     26.33|    27242.48|     28.65|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   342110.67|     19.61|    20232.39|     22.04|
|第二季度      |   404791.67|     23.20|    26000.26|     28.32|
|第三季度      |   482696.35|     27.67|    18257.77|     19.89|
|第四季度      |   514952.24|     29.52|    27304.40|     29.75|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.0037|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1343|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0508|    1.6580|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.8713|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.0250|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.64|     -0.84|      1.40|     -0.65|
|总资产现金回收率      |      6.80|     11.44|      2.99|      5.11|
|净利润率              |      1.59|      1.15|      0.97|      1.00|
|应收帐款              |     -0.11|      0.68|      0.59|      0.34|
|经营预警综合指数      |      2.14|      3.55|      1.63|      1.61|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.11|     -0.85|     -1.89|     -0.44|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.73|     -0.49|     -3.08|     -0.51|
|留存盈利              |      8.84|     17.09|      2.82|      6.71|
|净资产收益率          |    182.17|    144.50|    165.83|    181.05|
|投资预警综合指数      |     37.95|     31.92|     32.24|     37.27|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.85|      0.91|      0.74|      0.81|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.85|      0.91|      0.74|      0.81|
|支付现金股利          |      0.99|      1.10|      0.79|      1.39|
|银行贷款率            |      0.83|      0.75|      0.90|      0.85|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.92|      0.96|      0.86|      0.91|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     12.51|     11.28|     10.57|     12.13|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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