☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000100   更新日期:2008-04-30◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1737    |0.1530    |0.0737    |0.0174    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0117    |0.0525    |0.0003    |0.0019    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.5172    |1.3444    |1.2665    |1.2071    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |11.4500   |11.3800   |5.8200    |1.4400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.7448    |0.7501    |0.7457    |0.7441    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|-0.4246   |-0.5979   |-0.6699   |-0.7254   |
|主营业务收入(万元)|890351.64 |3906260.73|2829373.32|1842978.06|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |37478.14  |12583.55  |6370.78   |4146.50   |
|净利润(万元)      |44913.18  |39581.56  |19050.94  |4509.38   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0054    |-0.7196   |-0.2732   |-0.2852   |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |-0.0030   |-0.7074   |-0.2852   |-0.2356   |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.1656    |1.1815    |1.5991    |1.6163    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |1.5649    |1.5700    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.4601    |-60.9000  |-17.0800  |-17.6400  |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.7091    |0.7415    |0.7128    |0.7402    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|-0.7304   |-0.7465   |-0.2814   |-0.2951   |
|主营业务收入(万元)|908893.95 |4871159.01|3482796.69|2357635.90|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |695420.90 |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1819.43   |-12001.79 |-13450.41 |-9530.04  |
|净利润(万元)      |1387.27   |-186110.84|-71974.30 |-74640.89 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|带强调事项|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |段的无保留|意见      |
|                  |          |          |意见      |          |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1737    |0.1530    |-0.7196   |-0.1238   |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0117    |0.0525    |-0.7074   |-0.6399   |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.5172    |1.3444    |1.1815    |1.8994    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.7448    |0.7501    |0.7415    |0.7333    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|-0.4246   |-0.5979   |-0.7465   |-0.0042   |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.0231   |-0.1096   |0.4369    |-0.7877   |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.0284    |-0.2350   |-0.5754   |-0.3324   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|890351.64 |3906260.73|4871159.01|5167560.61|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |695420.90 |771639.36 |
|经营费用(万元)    |94989.55  |409388.47 |612775.71 |654975.16 |
|管理费用(万元)    |44020.88  |204295.60 |280316.24 |362647.49 |
|财务费用(万元)    |5364.22   |27049.82  |24875.30  |32812.17  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-4.82     |-30.20    |-12.61    |46.01     |
|营业利润(万元)    |56064.74  |19271.95  |-320078.29|-259199.21|
|投资收益(万元)    |37478.14  |12583.55  |-12001.79 |100305.81 |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |6680.30   |5982.42   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |1968.93   |25985.28  |-16011.99 |6383.26   |
|利润总额(万元)    |58033.67  |45257.22  |-336090.28|-146527.72|
|所得税(万元)      |2264.58   |12412.17  |15789.09  |24804.36  |
|净利润(万元)      |44913.18  |39581.56  |-186110.84|-32024.30 |
|销售毛利率(%)     |16.59     |16.52     |14.56     |14.96     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |14.28     |14.93     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |11.45     |11.38     |-60.90    |-6.52     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.50      |6.43      |6.89      |6.27      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |2.15      |7.78      |7.48      |6.99      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.43      |1.83      |1.87      |1.70      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-2.02     |-19.81    |-5.74     |28.28     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |2661.00   |106.02    |-23.49    |-965.42   |
|税后利润增长率(%) |3137.53   |121.27    |-481.15   |-230.60   |
|净资产增长率(%)   |26.58     |13.78     |-37.79    |-10.02    |
|总资产增长率(%)   |11.58     |-6.31     |-26.60    |-2.26     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |2046965.74|2065977.84|2205120.74|3004103.97|
|负债总额(万元)  |1431921.03|1500893.75|1737455.94|2231829.99|
|流动负债(万元)  |1273780.71|1323989.96|1708439.31|2199671.27|
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |26814.50  |32158.72  |
|货币资金(万元)  |511856.93 |447420.15 |410547.54 |576651.95 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |380398.35 |447785.23 |556891.16 |745399.21 |
|其他应收款(万元)|116041.68 |107281.39 |96841.24  |149888.65 |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |392387.20 |347695.86 |305583.81 |491242.50 |
|资产负债率(%)   |69.9533   |72.6481   |78.7918   |74.2927   |
|股东权益比率(%) |19.1692   |16.8296   |13.8579   |16.3523   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.2470    |1.2208    |0.9854    |1.0691    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.8603    |0.8444    |0.6833    |0.7548    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |1030584.80|4421280.97|5564353.09|5738496.81|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-5979.23  |-28350.56 |113016.57 |-203739.54|
|现金净流量(万元)|7360.08   |-60788.15 |-148819.50|-85982.57 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-168.33   |-125.08   |-155.69   |55.03     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |115.7503  |113.1845  |114.2306  |111.0485  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |636.2029  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |268.4916  |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |5496.80   |-24747.07 |-17495.20 |-34203.40 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |9839.19   |3364.19   |-249314.06|152163.20 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应交税金(万元)      |-12471.03     |-26312.31     |52.60       |
|预计负债(万元)      |-             |97574.24      |-100.00     |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |5696.43       |124001.60     |-95.41      |
|长期借款(万元)      |41075.33      |4192.10       |879.83      |
|长期应付款(万元)    |5454.21       |11605.22      |-53.00      |
|其他长期负债(万元)  |6381.57       |90.87         |6922.37     |
|营业利润(万元)      |56064.74      |-2189.18      |2661.00     |
|加:投资收益(万元)   |37478.14      |1819.43       |1959.88     |
|利润总额(万元)      |58033.67      |3042.47       |1807.45     |
|减:少数股东损益(万元|10855.91      |-2486.44      |536.61      |
|净利润(万元)        |44913.18      |1387.27       |3137.53     |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |24897.23      |4863.56       |411.91      |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |13076.25      |7165.85       |82.48       |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |19400.43      |7165.85       |170.73      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |9839.19       |-56831.07     |117.31      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |7360.08       |-52023.00     |114.15      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |44913.18      |1387.27       |3137.53     |
|加:少数股东         |              |              |            |
|损益(万元)          |10855.91      |-2486.44      |536.61      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |7360.08       |-52023.00     |114.15      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   908709.87|     23.26|     1387.27|      3.50|
|第二季度      |   934268.20|     23.92|     3122.11|      7.89|
|第三季度      |   986395.26|     25.25|    14541.56|     36.74|
|第四季度      |  1076887.41|     27.57|    20530.62|     51.87|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |  1192215.58|     24.47|   -13031.76|      7.00|
|第二季度      |  1228279.57|     25.22|   -61609.13|     33.10|
|第三季度      |  1157117.77|     23.75|     2666.60|     -1.43|
|第四季度      |  1293546.08|     26.56|  -114136.54|     61.33|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.1537|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |     -0.0307|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.1238|    2.3206|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.2740|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.7398|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -2.60|     -0.46|          |          |
|总资产现金回收率      |      5.82|     34.68|          |          |
|净利润率              |      0.96|      4.01|          |          |
|应收帐款              |     -5.45|     -1.41|          |          |
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.07|     10.79|      0.00|      0.00|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.62|     -1.44|          |          |
|现金盈利留存率        |     -2.10|     -1.88|          |          |
|留存盈利              |    -27.19|     -4.91|          |          |
|净资产收益率          |     73.83|    419.17|    365.67|    304.68|
|投资预警综合指数      |      8.21|     81.86|     73.13|     60.94|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.93|      0.92|          |          |
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.93|      0.92|          |          |
|支付现金股利          |      1.07|      0.99|          |          |
|银行贷款率            |          |      0.69|          |          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.88|      0.94|      0.95|          |
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      2.72|     29.14|     22.00|     18.28|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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