☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000009   更新日期:2008-04-25◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0920    |0.2400    |0.1670    |0.1100    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |-0.0656   |0.0700    |0.1540    |0.1040    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.7700    |1.7800    |1.7700    |1.7100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |5.2100    |13.4800   |9.4000    |6.6300    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.3770    |0.4840    |0.4863    |0.4758    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3290    |0.2370    |0.2149    |0.1614    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|50243.33  |194849.22 |101301.04 |80802.61  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |13958.24  |46716.86  |35255.00  |27559.80  |
|净利润(万元)      |8822.65   |23038.89  |15999.14  |10869.13  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0456    |0.1400    |0.0151    |0.0133    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |-0.0270   |0.0600    |0.0179    |0.0139    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.6000    |1.5000    |1.2370    |1.2400    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |1.1680    |1.1750    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.8500    |9.4200    |1.2200    |1.0700    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.4015    |0.4175    |0.2269    |0.2269    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.1032    |0.0107    |0.2446    |0.2427    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|34150.15  |252032.30 |144474.26 |88924.33  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |10018.33  |13296.73  |655.31    |582.31    |
|净利润(万元)      |4374.44   |13563.40  |-138.29   |177.02    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|保留意见; |
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |带强调事项|
|                  |          |          |          |段的保留意|
|                  |          |          |          |见        |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0920    |0.2400    |0.1400    |0.0749    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |-0.0656   |0.0700    |0.0600    |0.0309    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.7700    |1.7800    |1.5000    |1.2400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.3770    |0.4840    |0.4175    |0.2269    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3290    |0.2370    |0.0107    |0.2295    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.1693    |-0.1020   |0.2872    |0.5294    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.1292    |-0.0072   |0.2087    |-0.1842   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|50243.33  |194849.22 |252032.30 |205490.65 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |58264.29  |
|经营费用(万元)    |5046.89   |20531.14  |20493.60  |21312.93  |
|管理费用(万元)    |4601.57   |25894.17  |20900.85  |19805.60  |
|财务费用(万元)    |2677.73   |11234.73  |11827.27  |9509.47   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |18.43     |8.33      |5.12      |31.77     |
|营业利润(万元)    |9900.84   |39148.64  |25262.36  |9464.29   |
|投资收益(万元)    |13958.24  |46716.86  |13296.73  |5898.82   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |80.70     |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |389.08    |-221.53   |-882.79   |-836.94   |
|利润总额(万元)    |10289.91  |38927.11  |24379.56  |14606.86  |
|所得税(万元)      |1622.06   |5770.97   |5259.04   |5094.98   |
|净利润(万元)      |8822.65   |23038.89  |13563.40  |7180.44   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |36.79     |31.26     |29.22     |31.78     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |28.35     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |5.21      |13.48     |9.42      |6.04      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.15      |0.63      |0.82      |0.60      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |3.30      |12.71     |19.08     |19.47     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.08      |0.34      |0.48      |0.42      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |47.12     |-22.69    |22.65     |33.10     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |7.93      |54.97     |166.92    |29.78     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |101.69    |69.86     |88.89     |162.23    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |10.36     |18.69     |21.20     |11.15     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |4.26      |4.41      |14.41     |-1.64     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |600673.22 |583929.97 |559270.92 |488812.81 |
|负债总额(万元)  |363864.49 |345266.46 |358630.32 |317642.83 |
|流动负债(万元)  |224953.00 |227548.25 |289129.55 |280451.16 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |37191.67  |
|货币资金(万元)  |88141.51  |75746.09  |78441.96  |59223.55  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |14942.12  |15480.63  |15181.90  |11242.14  |
|其他应收款(万元)|42146.35  |40032.79  |43465.40  |24774.86  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |169273.48 |170973.47 |144053.87 |118857.25 |
|资产负债率(%)   |60.5761   |59.1280   |64.1246   |64.9825   |
|股东权益比率(%) |28.1806   |29.2797   |25.7574   |24.3154   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.9388    |1.7782    |1.3204    |1.2721    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.9532    |0.8395    |0.5786    |0.4931    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |61049.44  |223485.62 |275271.49 |211390.29 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |16238.99  |-9786.58  |27539.73  |50768.85  |
|现金净流量(万元)|12395.42  |-695.87   |20011.82  |-17670.28 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-202.37   |-135.53   |-45.75    |248.59    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |121.5075  |114.6967  |109.2207  |102.8730  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |707.0439  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-246.0892 |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-11634.42 |23221.48  |11720.28  |-17535.96 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |7810.95   |-13908.50 |-19167.35 |-51005.75 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|短期借款(万元)      |29238.00      |94057.10      |-68.91      |
|长期借款(万元)      |134691.09     |75061.69      |79.44       |
|未分配利润(万元)    |31549.44      |9895.82       |218.82      |
|销售商品、提供劳    |              |              |            |
|务收到的现金(万元)  |61049.44      |37127.50      |64.43       |
|收回投资所          |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |47013.97      |20592.63      |128.30      |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |47013.99      |23779.64      |97.71       |
|投资所支付的现金    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |50818.81      |16222.34      |213.26      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |58648.41      |24523.88      |139.15      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-11634.42     |-744.23       |-1463.28    |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |48737.00      |27919.15      |74.56       |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |48737.00      |27962.74      |74.29       |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |35829.08      |10290.22      |248.19      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |40926.05      |12565.36      |225.71      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |12395.42      |-1234.62      |1103.99     |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |12395.42      |-1234.62      |1103.99     |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    34150.15|     17.53|     4374.44|     18.99|
|第二季度      |    46652.46|     23.94|     6494.69|     28.19|
|第三季度      |    20498.42|     10.52|     5130.02|     22.27|
|第四季度      |    93548.18|     48.01|     7039.75|     30.56|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    38119.46|     15.12|      223.33|      1.65|
|第二季度      |    51645.41|     20.49|      -46.32|     -0.34|
|第三季度      |    55950.22|     22.20|     -315.30|     -2.32|
|第四季度      |   106317.21|     42.18|    13701.69|    101.02|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.3516|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.0646|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0863|    1.1044|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.4652|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.3345|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -1.05|     -1.15|     -1.39|     -0.99|
|总资产现金回收率      |     -0.19|     -0.55|     -0.53|     -0.44|
|净利润率              |     -0.76|     -0.82|     -0.82|     -0.46|
|应收帐款              |      0.16|      0.09|      0.13|      0.17|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -0.49|     -0.66|     -0.71|     -0.49|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.05|     -1.09|     -1.84|     -0.98|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -1.71|     -1.93|     -1.31|     -0.24|
|留存盈利              |     -0.76|     -0.82|     -0.82|     -0.46|
|净资产收益率          |     22.33|     17.83|     18.83|     55.89|
|投资预警综合指数      |      3.49|      2.49|      2.66|     10.72|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.10|     -0.25|     -0.40|     -0.58|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.10|     -0.25|     -0.40|     -0.58|
|支付现金股利          |     -0.84|     -2.56|     -3.04|      1.00|
|银行贷款率            |          |          |          |          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.16|     -0.25|     -0.53|     -0.80|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      0.79|      0.22|      0.17|      3.01|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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