☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯900950   更新日期:2008-04-19◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0050    |0.8086    |0.1545    |0.1209    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0007    |0.8082    |0.1532    |0.1190    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.7290    |2.7240    |2.1240    |2.0905    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.1830    |29.6800   |7.2700    |5.7900    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.0381    |0.0381    |0.0381    |0.0381    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5604    |1.5554    |0.6601    |0.6265    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|13581.43  |343777.29 |92433.83  |60940.27  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |265.24    |42939.63  |8203.07   |6423.05   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0467    |0.5534    |0.6623    |0.4567    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0458    |0.5056    |0.5928    |0.4080    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.1981    |1.9696    |2.7942    |2.5886    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |2.7771    |2.5716    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.4600    |28.1000   |23.7000   |17.6400   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.0610    |0.0610    |0.0610    |0.0610    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.4556    |2.0503    |1.2693    |1.0638    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|23875.30  |257360.36 |126871.62 |101999.56 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-258.07   |-235.98   |
|净利润(万元)      |1550.74   |29387.50  |19036.43  |13753.62  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0050    |0.8086    |0.5534    |0.8432    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0007    |0.8082    |0.5056    |0.7659    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.7290    |2.7240    |1.9696    |2.3119    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.0381    |0.0381    |0.0610    |0.0610    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5604    |1.5554    |2.0503    |0.7870    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.6528   |-1.9817   |0.1217    |-0.5046   |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.2964    |0.2260    |0.6748    |0.3091    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|13581.43  |343777.29 |257360.36 |200522.70 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |50887.33  |
|经营费用(万元)    |813.34    |8189.68   |6039.76   |2116.47   |
|管理费用(万元)    |2898.87   |12322.51  |6938.64   |9883.78   |
|财务费用(万元)    |315.28    |1768.39   |-57.04    |-76.07    |
|三项费用增长率(%) |47.76     |72.43     |8.36      |61.90     |
|营业利润(万元)    |179.17    |67730.23  |45251.39  |39190.99  |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-5.00     |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |1625.99   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |316.58    |73.06     |732.40    |2250.91   |
|利润总额(万元)    |495.75    |67803.29  |45983.78  |43062.90  |
|所得税(万元)      |186.70    |23658.14  |15661.21  |14126.27  |
|净利润(万元)      |265.24    |42939.63  |29387.50  |27987.56  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |37.67     |32.95     |33.47     |31.92     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |25.38     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.18      |29.68     |28.10     |36.47     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.01      |0.43      |0.51      |0.58      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.49      |-         |-         |6308.87   |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.01      |0.45      |0.53      |0.57      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-43.12    |33.58     |28.34     |96.70     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-93.10    |49.68     |15.46     |111.29    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-82.90    |46.12     |5.00      |143.41    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |36.53     |38.30     |36.31     |47.38     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |59.74     |72.74     |40.47     |31.18     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |1052679.68|973844.00 |563762.25 |401340.33 |
|负债总额(万元)  |905120.38 |826593.74 |451633.14 |321883.29 |
|流动负债(万元)  |650896.22 |659389.59 |378316.32 |291883.29 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |30000.00  |
|货币资金(万元)  |96088.08  |81270.52  |67920.29  |42160.20  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |8568.68   |9687.78   |-         |12.66     |
|其他应收款(万元)|31619.01  |39154.59  |56043.29  |7579.80   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |144926.06 |144660.81 |104595.97 |76734.23  |
|资产负债率(%)   |85.9825   |84.8794   |80.1105   |80.2020   |
|股东权益比率(%) |13.7673   |14.8546   |18.5532   |19.1194   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.6063    |1.4670    |1.4655    |1.3377    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.4582    |0.4180    |0.4869    |0.2928    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |80622.39  |505324.69 |328651.86 |197117.43 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-34671.65 |-105245.37|4042.34   |-16748.99 |
|现金净流量(万元)|15743.22  |12006.50  |22399.26  |10261.16  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-12.41    |-2703.57  |-124.13   |-460.13   |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |593.6222  |146.9919  |127.7010  |98.3018   |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |-59.8444  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |36.6633   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-99.50    |-9354.35  |2292.90   |-2342.55  |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |50514.37  |126606.22 |16064.02  |29352.70  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|存货(万元)          |747324.01     |434632.28     |71.94       |
|其他流动资产(万元)  |75751.24      |25665.69      |195.15      |
|流动资产合计(万元)  |1045582.01    |646700.88     |61.68       |
|长期股权投资(万元)  |-             |6719.00       |-100.00     |
|资产总计(万元)      |1052679.68    |658995.55     |59.74       |
|短期借款(万元)      |25000.00      |9500.00       |163.16      |
|预收账款(万元)      |463498.57     |304104.99     |52.41       |
|应交税金(万元)      |12463.66      |448.50        |2678.96     |
|其他应付款(万元)    |35257.32      |9466.05       |272.46      |
|长期借款(万元)      |252400.00     |105700.00     |138.79      |
|负债合计(万元)      |905120.38     |545233.12     |66.01       |
|股本(万元)          |53106.24      |33191.40      |60.00       |
|盈余公积(万元)      |6927.25       |22616.90      |-69.37      |
|未分配利润(万元)    |82867.41      |48315.04      |71.51       |
|负债和股东          |              |              |            |
|权益总计(万元)      |1052679.68    |658995.55     |59.74       |
|减:                 |              |              |            |
|主营业务成本(万元)  |8465.58       |17013.75      |-50.24      |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |17419.04      |1188.79       |1365.28     |
|支付的各项税费(万元)|14880.77      |9506.82       |56.53       |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |26405.63      |17470.22      |51.15       |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |15743.22      |5825.97       |170.22      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    23875.30|      6.94|     1550.74|      3.61|
|第二季度      |    37064.97|     10.78|     4872.31|     11.35|
|第三季度      |    31493.56|      9.16|     1780.02|      4.15|
|第四季度      |   251343.46|     73.11|    34736.57|     80.90|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    28263.53|     10.98|     2134.10|      7.26|
|第二季度      |    73750.03|     28.66|    11619.52|     39.54|
|第三季度      |    24898.38|      9.67|     5282.81|     17.98|
|第四季度      |   130448.43|     50.69|    10351.08|     35.22|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.3749|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.0853|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0030|    0.4694|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.1601|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.0516|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -1.10|    -13.04|     -1.38|     -0.48|
|总资产现金回收率      |     -5.10|      0.56|     -0.41|     -0.83|
|净利润率              |      4.13|      0.96|     -0.60|     -6.27|
|应收帐款              |      0.98|      0.97|      1.00|      0.87|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -0.84|     -3.36|     -0.46|     -1.47|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.11|    -10.67|     -1.14|     -0.91|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -1.73|     -2.00|     -1.90|     -0.05|
|留存盈利              |     -8.60|      0.96|     -0.60|     -6.27|
|净资产收益率          |    367.00|    172.00|     51.31|   -905.52|
|投资预警综合指数      |     70.83|     30.79|      9.23|   -182.64|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.80|      0.46|      0.43|      0.25|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.80|      0.46|      0.43|      0.25|
|支付现金股利          |      0.97|      0.44|     -0.81|      1.00|
|银行贷款率            |      0.29|          |          |          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.73|      0.36|      0.60|      0.66|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     21.13|      8.00|      2.59|    -55.23|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   重警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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