☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯600019   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2400    |0.7300    |0.6000    |0.4700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2437    |0.7200    |0.6100    |0.4700    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.2900    |5.0500    |4.9000    |4.7600    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.6000    |14.3700   |12.2900   |9.8000    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.9093    |1.9213    |1.8808    |1.8742    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.4779    |1.2346    |1.1751    |1.0385    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|4695605.02|19127349.4|14402052.1|9397601.35|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |29006.83  |149862.29 |134181.12 |87141.43  |
|净利润(万元)      |425943.79 |1271833.45|1054823.63|815972.26 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2100    |0.7500    |0.5200    |0.2500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2100    |0.7700    |-         |0.2600    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.8500    |4.6400    |4.4600    |4.1900    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |4.4600    |4.1900    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.3200    |16.0900   |11.6500   |5.9800    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8749    |1.8838    |1.8740    |1.8728    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.1341    |0.9720    |0.9175    |0.6488    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|4297510.63|16214216.9|11323080.0|7112932.42|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |43996.94  |78394.02  |63937.97  |48807.19  |
|净利润(万元)      |367578.29 |1307714.16|927424.39 |452801.93 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.2400    |0.7300    |0.7500    |0.7200    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2437    |0.7200    |0.7700    |0.8000    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.2900    |5.0500    |4.6400    |4.2500    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.9093    |1.9213    |1.8838    |1.8686    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.4779    |1.2346    |0.9720    |0.7190    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.2844    |1.1138    |1.4397    |1.2975    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.4631    |-0.0612   |0.5289    |0.1018    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|4695605.02|19127349.4|16214216.9|12660836.2|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |2593146.36|
|经营费用(万元)    |47591.49  |201837.00 |221789.47 |160654.92 |
|管理费用(万元)    |119659.26 |521955.67 |537842.25 |509536.37 |
|财务费用(万元)    |9275.01   |95505.16  |101781.87 |104360.88 |
|三项费用增长率(%) |4.51      |-4.88     |11.21     |131.46    |
|营业利润(万元)    |582927.80 |1947772.90|1953570.58|1830370.47|
|投资收益(万元)    |29006.83  |149862.29 |78394.02  |18135.65  |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |2508.03   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-1086.22  |-17004.16 |-33141.74 |-19936.79 |
|利润总额(万元)    |581841.58 |1930768.74|1920428.85|1831077.36|
|所得税(万元)      |137616.40 |588505.77 |560363.12 |577656.69 |
|净利润(万元)      |425943.79 |1271833.45|1307714.16|1266552.90|
|销售毛利率(%)     |15.71     |14.82     |16.99     |21.03     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |20.48     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.60      |14.37     |16.09     |17.01     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.95      |4.63      |4.78      |6.33      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |6.97      |32.25     |31.42     |35.41     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.24      |1.08      |1.06      |1.23      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |9.43      |17.97     |28.07     |115.91    |
|营业利润增长率(%) |3.31      |-0.30     |6.73      |35.21     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |15.88     |-2.74     |3.25      |34.81     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |8.90      |8.88      |9.15      |77.91     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |18.08     |14.25     |16.07     |121.03    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |20999437.9|18833579.5|16484665.7|14202423.6|
|负债总额(万元)  |11117870.5|9373480.02|7831275.67|6309731.94|
|流动负债(万元)  |8887431.43|7588516.82|6683211.03|4267817.88|
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |2021265.82|
|货币资金(万元)  |2652619.07|1124004.11|1817360.11|485730.25 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |716854.50 |631164.21 |554925.50 |477042.75 |
|其他应收款(万元)|130363.38 |86634.02  |78573.00  |47515.36  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |9256803.69|8850401.04|8128619.36|7447524.98|
|资产负债率(%)   |52.9436   |49.7700   |47.5064   |44.4271   |
|股东权益比率(%) |44.0811   |46.9926   |49.3101   |52.4384   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.0810    |1.0097    |1.0061    |1.1035    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.5873    |0.4948    |0.5388    |0.5167    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |5510121.81|22113260.6|18850546.2|15038895.2|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |498162.25 |1950625.27|2521317.41|2272185.69|
|现金净流量(万元)|810998.57 |-107174.38|926305.30 |178431.35 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-32.02    |-22.63    |10.96     |35.26     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |117.3464  |115.6107  |116.2594  |118.7828  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |179.3992  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |14.0880   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-912040.82|-2230936.9|-1232064.6|-3471363.4|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |1242383.59|163622.10 |-366116.80|1378053.13|
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收股利(万元)      |2204.59       |16260.59      |-86.44      |
|其他应收款(万元)    |130363.38     |48126.94      |170.87      |
|其他流动资产(万元)  |-             |228025.10     |-100.00     |
|长期待摊费用(万元)  |10423.41      |3361.07       |210.12      |
|应付票据(万元)      |170557.01     |376542.86     |-54.70      |
|应交税金(万元)      |237987.56     |125795.93     |89.19       |
|其他应付款(万元)    |119293.01     |66191.45      |80.22       |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |410274.09     |31860.95      |1187.70     |
|其他流动负债(万元)  |-             |230768.80     |-100.00     |
|长期借款(万元)      |2119524.84    |857232.56     |147.25      |
|其他长期负债(万元)  |73314.70      |1823.57       |3920.39     |
|递延税款贷项(万元)  |35067.79      |19008.75      |84.48       |
|减:财务费用(万元)   |9275.01       |29545.34      |-68.61      |
|收到的税费返还(万元)|3337.08       |9131.25       |-63.45      |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |15430.20      |9688.36       |59.27       |
|收回投资所          |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |119372.29     |310848.57     |-61.60      |
|取得投资收益所      |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |30580.43      |19046.68      |60.56       |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |155779.05     |333586.75     |-53.30      |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |811295.03     |486767.88     |66.67       |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-912040.82    |-530720.51    |-71.85      |
|吸收投资所收到的    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |1213.55       |9221.16       |-86.84      |
|再其中:子公司吸收少数股东|              |              |            |
|权益性投资所收到的现金(万元)|1213.55       |9221.16       |-86.84      |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |748418.43     |1745716.80    |-57.13      |
|再其中:子公司支付的|              |              |            |
|少数股东的股利(万元)|304.61        |9998.82       |-96.95      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |830849.20     |1832821.49    |-54.67      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |1242383.59    |-143379.68    |966.50      |
|汇率变动对现金      |              |              |            |
|的影响(万元)        |-17506.45     |-1366.07      |-1181.52    |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |810998.57     |96690.36      |738.76      |
|加:财务费用(万元)  |9275.01       |29545.34      |-68.61      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |810998.57     |96690.36      |738.76      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |  4290921.91|     22.43|   367578.29|     28.90|
|第二季度      |  5106679.45|     26.70|   448393.97|     35.26|
|第三季度      |  5004450.74|     26.16|   238851.37|     18.78|
|第四季度      |  4725297.26|     24.70|   217009.82|     17.06|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |  3340297.00|     20.60|   143372.10|     10.96|
|第二季度      |  3968883.14|     24.48|   309429.83|     23.66|
|第三季度      |  4331953.79|     26.72|   474622.46|     36.29|
|第四季度      |  4573082.95|     28.20|   380289.77|     29.08|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.0342|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1984|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.1125|    1.7849|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.8326|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.8944|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.45|      2.23|      1.18|     -0.61|
|总资产现金回收率      |      7.62|      4.73|      2.36|      1.55|
|净利润率              |      4.08|      3.24|      1.76|      0.69|
|应收帐款              |     -1.40|     -0.74|     -1.60|      0.50|
|经营预警综合指数      |      2.69|      2.59|      1.10|      0.52|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -2.59|     -1.32|     -1.67|     -0.36|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -1.16|     -5.89|     -2.86|     -0.54|
|留存盈利              |     -2.01|     -3.59|     -2.85|    -22.17|
|净资产收益率          |    373.00|    326.83|    231.00|    161.37|
|投资预警综合指数      |     73.07|     62.48|     44.27|     27.57|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.83|      0.77|      0.64|      0.56|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.83|      0.77|      0.64|      0.56|
|支付现金股利          |      1.34|      1.04|      1.17|      1.77|
|银行贷款率            |      0.67|      0.79|      0.77|      0.83|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.92|      0.87|      0.75|      0.62|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     23.29|     20.04|     13.97|      8.78|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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