☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200726   更新日期:2008-04-25◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1500    |0.5400    |0.3870    |0.2500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1500    |0.5300    |0.3730    |0.2400    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.8400    |2.6800    |2.5100    |2.3800    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |5.4100    |20.2900   |15.4200   |10.5800   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.3874    |0.3874    |0.3900    |0.3955    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.1178    |0.9644    |0.8354    |0.7002    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|92474.90  |381067.13 |280538.70 |173668.43 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-102.57   |859.87    |-7.09     |-7.09     |
|净利润(万元)      |12957.37  |45972.51  |32717.46  |21290.18  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2300    |0.4000    |0.6100    |0.4100    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2300    |0.3800    |0.5800    |0.3800    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.8700    |4.6600    |4.4300    |4.2300    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |4.3400    |4.1500    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.8100    |17.2900   |13.7600   |9.7200    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.7910    |1.7910    |1.7828    |1.7827    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5024    |1.2956    |1.1475    |0.9496    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|79010.80  |300338.01 |212066.40 |130061.80 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |449.48    |-142.00   |-144.46   |
|净利润(万元)      |9893.15   |34001.94  |25713.04  |17353.27  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1500    |0.5400    |0.4000    |0.7400    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1500    |0.5300    |0.3800    |0.7100    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.8400    |2.6800    |4.6600    |4.1100    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.3874    |0.3874    |1.7910    |1.7781    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.1178    |0.9644    |1.2956    |0.8388    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.0931    |0.5860    |1.4421    |1.1101    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.2273    |0.0076    |0.2585    |-0.3224   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|92474.90  |381067.13 |300338.01 |223310.35 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |68081.55  |
|经营费用(万元)    |2984.37   |11731.75  |7980.56   |6286.48   |
|管理费用(万元)    |3427.38   |24300.58  |22235.46  |18809.80  |
|财务费用(万元)    |1822.25   |10981.61  |10319.79  |8999.70   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-2.03     |15.98     |18.88     |48.62     |
|营业利润(万元)    |17568.81  |50692.90  |37739.03  |37487.56  |
|投资收益(万元)    |-102.57   |859.87    |449.48    |-140.72   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |519.98    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |78.78     |1741.47   |1852.44   |480.62    |
|利润总额(万元)    |17647.59  |52434.37  |39591.47  |38347.43  |
|所得税(万元)      |4773.35   |4062.06   |3892.54   |5034.60   |
|净利润(万元)      |12957.37  |45972.51  |34001.94  |31145.01  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |28.43     |25.87     |26.27     |30.57     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |30.49     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |5.41      |20.29     |17.29     |17.93     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.62      |3.13      |2.74      |2.20      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |7.07      |32.35     |26.85     |26.15     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.15      |0.70      |0.64      |0.53      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |17.04     |26.88     |34.49     |18.10     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |60.31     |34.32     |0.67      |15.06     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |30.97     |35.21     |9.17      |11.26     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |16.55     |15.23     |13.20     |9.75      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |18.02     |17.23     |13.39     |10.70     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |633279.14 |586963.30 |500690.28 |441568.54 |
|负债总额(万元)  |369948.10 |336481.11 |284872.12 |248134.34 |
|流动负债(万元)  |339472.48 |300659.85 |243730.39 |198418.96 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |49715.37  |
|货币资金(万元)  |52282.53  |33076.61  |32433.92  |21513.41  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |14009.07  |12164.39  |11392.69  |10977.39  |
|其他应收款(万元)|9557.83   |8639.15   |14138.20  |9635.52   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |239534.40 |226602.42 |196651.00 |173716.48 |
|资产负债率(%)   |58.4178   |57.3257   |56.8958   |56.1938   |
|股东权益比率(%) |37.8244   |38.6058   |39.2759   |39.3407   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.6457    |0.6045    |0.7101    |0.7245    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.3145    |0.2729    |0.3793    |0.3165    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |93114.70  |322947.70 |295185.29 |241467.56 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |7870.33   |49512.66  |60919.28  |46896.62  |
|现金净流量(万元)|19205.91  |642.70    |10920.50  |-13622.38 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-52.50    |-18.72    |29.90     |49.70     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |100.6919  |84.7482   |98.2844   |108.1309  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |102.3574  |170.6474  |150.5751  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |1.3286    |30.5906   |-43.7386  |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-18823.64 |-87973.28 |-60073.07 |-53957.14 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |29280.15  |37566.27  |10059.47  |-6056.75  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|工程物资(万元)      |3760.12       |17051.82      |-77.95      |
|无形资产(万元)      |13792.39      |7193.30       |91.74       |
|短期借款(万元)      |248716.21     |145387.79     |71.07       |
|应付票据(万元)      |4820.07       |44150.67      |-89.08      |
|应付工资(万元)      |16861.20      |11146.52      |51.27       |
|应交税金(万元)      |7420.63       |421.11        |1662.17     |
|长期借款(万元)      |29134.37      |59964.27      |-51.41      |
|股本(万元)          |84486.48      |42243.24      |100.00      |
|资本公积(万元)      |32732.07      |75658.79      |-56.74      |
|营业利润(万元)      |17568.81      |10959.29      |60.31       |
|利润总额(万元)      |17647.59      |11262.01      |56.70       |
|购买商品、接受劳务  |              |              |            |
|支付的现金(万元)    |72675.80      |44428.53      |63.58       |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |7870.33       |16571.56      |-52.51      |
|收回投资所          |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |-             |11130.40      |-100.00     |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |408.27        |11266.81      |-96.38      |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |29426.13      |78933.94      |-62.72      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |32319.05      |82249.66      |-60.71      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |29280.15      |13267.08      |120.70      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |19205.91      |10606.99      |81.07       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    79010.80|     20.73|     9893.15|     21.52|
|第二季度      |    94657.63|     24.84|    11397.03|     24.79|
|第三季度      |   106870.27|     28.04|    11427.28|     24.86|
|第四季度      |   100528.43|     26.38|    13255.05|     28.83|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    62962.60|     20.96|     8288.06|     24.38|
|第二季度      |    72384.85|     24.10|     9065.21|     26.66|
|第三季度      |    86254.94|     28.72|     8359.77|     24.59|
|第四季度      |    78735.63|     26.22|     8288.90|     24.38|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.1899|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1936|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.1229|    1.2648|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.6474|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.5841|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.93|     -0.63|      0.33|     -1.14|
|总资产现金回收率      |      2.30|     -5.60|      3.43|          |
|净利润率              |      2.54|      1.58|      1.25|      2.06|
|应收帐款              |     -1.40|     -1.29|     -0.63|     -0.13|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.64|     -1.81|      1.25|      0.04|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.15|      3.14|     -1.36|     -1.08|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -1.18|      2.90|     -1.71|    -11.10|
|留存盈利              |     -2.53|     -1.40|     -1.40|     -1.57|
|净资产收益率          |    293.77|    219.00|    165.08|    152.39|
|投资预警综合指数      |     57.55|     45.33|     31.81|     26.51|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.27|      0.39|      0.78|          |
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.27|      0.39|      0.78|          |
|支付现金股利          |      0.86|      0.92|      1.22|    -16.75|
|银行贷款率            |      0.49|     -0.79|      0.62|    -10.25|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.13|      0.50|      0.89|      1.00|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     17.66|     12.97|     10.32|      5.91|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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