☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200625   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1400    |0.3400    |0.2600    |0.2700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1300    |0.3400    |0.2600    |0.2700    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.0300    |3.8900    |3.8700    |4.6600    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |3.4100    |8.8100    |6.6500    |5.7400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.9713    |0.9713    |1.0532    |1.2638    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5363    |1.3987    |1.2883    |1.7647    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|401627.80 |1372229.91|1056992.43|774311.53 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |30813.64  |93218.32  |86093.15  |63505.79  |
|净利润(万元)      |26759.67  |66689.40  |50001.68  |43316.61  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1000    |0.2700    |0.3300    |0.2700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1000    |0.2600    |-         |0.2700    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.4900    |3.5800    |4.4200    |4.4200    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |3.8800    |3.9900    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.2900    |7.4500    |7.4400    |6.0700    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.2638    |1.1465    |1.2576    |1.2576    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.6006    |1.5270    |1.2074    |1.2069    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|374932.44 |1215377.30|1822953.46|1257503.87|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |22414.87  |56288.88  |63933.13  |46924.29  |
|净利润(万元)      |17241.09  |51944.48  |41500.16  |33923.57  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1400    |0.3400    |0.2700    |0.1500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1300    |0.3400    |0.2600    |0.1400    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.0300    |3.8900    |3.5800    |4.1500    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.9713    |0.9713    |1.1465    |1.2561    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.5363    |1.3987    |1.5270    |0.9383    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.3007   |0.2507    |0.4442    |0.8402    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.1828   |-0.1113   |0.1096    |-0.2748   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|401627.80 |1372229.91|1215377.30|1916854.96|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |305061.72 |
|经营费用(万元)    |35562.55  |124636.86 |90249.61  |162135.65 |
|管理费用(万元)    |24525.09  |67349.20  |67392.17  |129458.19 |
|财务费用(万元)    |1356.35   |4710.59   |7124.53   |-1319.97  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |47.71     |19.37     |-43.23    |11.74     |
|营业利润(万元)    |25251.83  |68691.37  |49907.78  |28495.07  |
|投资收益(万元)    |30813.64  |93218.32  |56288.88  |8841.72   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |616.00    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |550.49    |-3297.46  |472.30    |-1376.86  |
|利润总额(万元)    |25802.31  |65393.91  |50380.08  |36575.93  |
|所得税(万元)      |-517.37   |1996.63   |2985.93   |5177.75   |
|净利润(万元)      |26759.67  |66689.40  |51944.48  |23675.03  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |17.12     |15.32     |15.44     |19.54     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |15.91     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |3.41      |8.81      |7.45      |3.52      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.95      |6.39      |3.59      |4.45      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |5.66      |23.17     |22.47     |42.69     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.27      |0.95      |0.73      |1.15      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |15.24     |12.91     |-36.60    |3.46      |
|营业利润增长率(%) |45.52     |37.64     |75.15     |-80.40    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |55.21     |28.39     |119.41    |-82.03    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |7.67      |8.61      |3.58      |-3.52     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |-10.97    |-0.73     |-22.48    |26.95     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |1557517.10|1435291.77|1445896.46|1865149.76|
|负债总额(万元)  |762425.82 |666520.18 |732905.23 |1026162.52|
|流动负债(万元)  |732227.35 |638713.16 |608760.54 |925755.33 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |100407.19 |
|货币资金(万元)  |122811.33 |158370.65 |182235.28 |378622.71 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |72166.30  |69838.66  |48610.95  |59575.42  |
|其他应收款(万元)|86549.13  |15073.00  |17170.62  |37048.89  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |784066.54 |757306.87 |697251.39 |673171.68 |
|资产负债率(%)   |48.9513   |46.4379   |50.6886   |55.0177   |
|股东权益比率(%) |50.3407   |52.7632   |48.2227   |36.0920   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.9648    |0.9694    |1.0876    |1.1172    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.7446    |0.6885    |0.7849    |0.6977    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |232161.71 |1149069.06|1040777.97|1882290.62|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-58491.64 |48763.77  |72009.57  |136189.22 |
|现金净流量(万元)|-35559.32 |-21662.64 |17770.44  |-44545.80 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |185.08    |-76.93    |55.21     |-6.23     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |57.8052   |83.7374   |85.6341   |98.1968   |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |575.2442  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-188.1552 |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-79960.97 |36430.19  |-87148.43 |-157863.93|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |102893.28 |-106856.59|32909.29  |-22871.10 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收账款(万元)      |72166.30      |39086.36      |84.63       |
|其他应收款(万元)    |86549.13      |18008.72      |380.60      |
|无形资产(万元)      |13050.92      |1352.09       |865.24      |
|其他长期资产(万元)  |-             |14256.81      |-100.00     |
|应付票据(万元)      |78461.71      |158414.20     |-50.47      |
|预收账款(万元)      |73110.51      |43148.34      |69.44       |
|长期借款(万元)      |-             |95000.00      |-100.00     |
|其他长期负债(万元)  |4181.27       |26477.18      |-84.21      |
|递延税款贷项(万元)  |-             |8281.96       |-100.00     |
|少数股东权益(万元   |11024.74      |71581.25      |-84.60      |
|减:管理费用(万元)   |24525.09      |14748.57      |66.29       |
|净利润(万元)        |26759.67      |17241.09      |55.21       |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |17316.07      |3312.49       |422.75      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-58491.64     |-20516.99     |-185.09     |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |10127.85      |4742.16       |113.57      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |80848.93      |4742.16       |1604.90     |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-79960.97     |-4476.37      |-1686.29    |
|其中:发行债券所    |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |-             |50000.00      |-100.00     |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |177400.00     |59950.00      |195.91      |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |177400.00     |59950.00      |195.91      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |102893.28     |-2319.82      |4535.39     |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |26759.67      |17241.09      |55.21       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   348522.42|     25.40|    17241.09|     25.85|
|第二季度      |   425789.12|     31.03|    26075.52|     39.10|
|第三季度      |   282680.90|     20.60|     6685.07|     10.02|
|第四季度      |   315237.48|     22.97|    16687.72|     25.02|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   360243.79|     29.64|    19496.41|     37.53|
|第二季度      |   301768.87|     24.83|    14427.16|     27.77|
|第三季度      |   248701.17|     20.46|     7576.59|     14.59|
|第四季度      |   304663.47|     25.07|    10444.32|     20.11|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.0165|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.2572|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0697|    1.8840|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      1.0283|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.0314|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.83|     -0.87|      3.77|     -0.49|
|总资产现金回收率      |     31.46|     72.31|     30.88|      6.24|
|净利润率              |      5.21|      7.70|      4.64|      0.12|
|应收帐款              |      0.49|      0.62|      0.79|     -0.01|
|经营预警综合指数      |     10.33|     23.10|     11.48|      1.74|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |      3.35|     -0.02|     -1.81|     -0.06|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.98|     -0.76|     -6.98|     -0.54|
|留存盈利              |     -3.61|     -9.17|     13.73|      0.18|
|净资产收益率          |    313.67|    509.17|    420.54|    102.73|
|投资预警综合指数      |     62.72|     99.76|     84.22|     20.40|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.92|      0.95|      0.96|      0.87|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.92|      0.95|      0.96|      0.87|
|支付现金股利          |      1.05|      1.05|      1.05|      1.10|
|银行贷款率            |      0.64|      0.81|      0.95|      0.95|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.93|      0.96|      0.97|      0.93|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     23.22|     39.45|     30.15|      7.11|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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