☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200539   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0008    |0.2500    |0.2100    |0.1600    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0010    |0.2500    |0.2080    |0.1550    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.3600    |3.4400    |3.4285    |3.2500    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.0200    |7.2100    |6.0700    |4.8000    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.6117    |0.6893    |0.7044    |0.5737    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3515    |0.3508    |0.2878    |0.2357    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|298513.16 |1039308.84|763216.19 |488902.68 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-2348.08  |5087.83   |-2117.39  |1057.85   |
|净利润(万元)      |201.30    |65887.78  |55312.32  |41468.03  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0700    |0.2800    |0.2360    |0.1360    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0700    |0.2900    |0.2350    |0.1360    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.3211    |3.2200    |3.2100    |3.1100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |3.2100    |3.1100    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.1000    |8.7100    |7.3500    |4.3800    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5548    |0.5369    |0.5352    |0.5352    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3300    |0.2830    |0.3335    |0.2338    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|229243.08 |873236.32 |631887.33 |400021.05 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |2797.17   |-3106.04  |-293.63   |-667.01   |
|净利润(万元)      |22230.82  |74518.12  |62683.45  |36547.39  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0008    |0.2500    |0.2800    |0.2710    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0010    |0.2500    |0.2900    |0.2720    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.3600    |3.4400    |3.2200    |3.1500    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.6117    |0.6893    |0.5369    |0.5352    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3515    |0.3508    |0.2830    |0.2778    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.0543   |0.9766    |1.1303    |0.3364    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.0231   |0.0292    |0.3754    |0.0087    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|298513.16 |1039308.84|873236.32 |831736.58 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |195878.68 |
|经营费用(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|管理费用(万元)    |12861.46  |57993.47  |56460.32  |46110.70  |
|财务费用(万元)    |13389.54  |33703.59  |15101.62  |14034.82  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业利润(万元)    |3367.03   |123702.38 |137733.76 |136420.88 |
|投资收益(万元)    |-2348.08  |5087.83   |-3106.04  |-1498.23  |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-118.21   |-1064.55  |-961.08   |-261.52   |
|利润总额(万元)    |3248.82   |122637.83 |136772.68 |134661.13 |
|所得税(万元)      |2556.15   |39847.87  |44828.22  |49303.96  |
|净利润(万元)      |201.30    |65887.78  |74518.12  |72022.24  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |11.23     |20.98     |25.09     |24.02     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |23.55     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.02      |7.21      |8.71      |8.60      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |4.44      |16.10     |12.78     |12.39     |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.72      |10.09     |8.36      |7.34      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.12      |0.47      |0.47      |0.54      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |30.22     |19.02     |4.99      |16.31     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-91.01    |-10.19    |0.96      |-16.47    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-99.09    |-11.58    |3.47      |-24.06    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |1.22      |6.84      |2.16      |3.36      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |13.37     |17.63     |20.33     |24.98     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |2458046.16|2405284.07|2044814.21|1699285.86|
|负债总额(万元)  |1276488.50|1203769.49|900639.03 |652729.39 |
|流动负债(万元)  |545865.10 |667747.10 |719076.68 |450323.39 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |202406.00 |
|货币资金(万元)  |211579.74 |217724.78 |209972.05 |114695.09 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |230198.42 |117192.72 |88781.09  |120149.97 |
|其他应收款(万元)|9257.34   |9145.40   |10036.87  |5967.34   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |893996.90 |914445.20 |855890.99 |837799.06 |
|资产负债率(%)   |51.9310   |50.0468   |44.0450   |38.4119   |
|股东权益比率(%) |36.3702   |38.0181   |41.8566   |49.3030   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.0289    |0.6779    |0.5401    |0.8039    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.9199    |0.5883    |0.4815    |0.6701    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |235938.30 |1176615.42|1053645.46|872684.63 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-14458.34 |259733.44 |300613.90 |89483.10  |
|现金净流量(万元)|-6145.04  |7772.73   |99856.96  |2338.61   |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-23.58    |14.81     |235.94    |-52.78    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |79.0378   |113.2113  |120.6598  |104.9232  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |124.2437  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |3.2471    |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-23232.49 |-366360.32|-343404.84|-324277.27|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |31651.10  |114635.03 |142694.92 |237132.78 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收账款(万元)      |230198.42     |146834.18     |56.77       |
|长期股权投资(万元)  |331578.72     |219865.17     |50.81       |
|在建工程(万元)      |27130.65      |265464.37     |-89.78      |
|短期借款(万元)      |149000.00     |488000.00     |-69.47      |
|应付票据(万元)      |2327.31       |17101.28      |-86.39      |
|应付账款(万元)      |196815.77     |118964.05     |65.44       |
|长期借款(万元)      |520162.00     |186688.00     |178.63      |
|减:                 |              |              |            |
|主营业务成本(万元)  |264988.53     |169542.73     |56.30       |
|减:财务费用(万元)   |13389.54      |4911.89       |172.59      |
|营业利润(万元)      |3367.03       |37446.88      |-91.01      |
|利润总额(万元)      |3248.82       |37383.73      |-91.31      |
|减:所得税(万元)     |2556.15       |11759.71      |-78.26      |
|净利润(万元)        |201.30        |22230.82      |-99.09      |
|支付其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |9143.05       |18896.75      |-51.62      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-14458.34     |645.75        |-2338.99    |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |21195.69      |77353.68      |-72.60      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |23601.06      |78362.87      |-69.88      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-23232.49     |-78003.74     |70.22       |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |96000.00      |211053.55     |-54.51      |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |249323.02     |117957.50     |111.37      |
|分配股利利润或偿付利|              |              |            |
|息所支付的现金(万元)|13555.48      |4309.82       |214.53      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |263223.50     |122268.12     |115.28      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |31651.10      |88811.03      |-64.36      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-6145.04      |11453.04      |-153.65     |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |201.30        |22230.82      |-99.09      |
|加:财务费用(万元)  |13389.54      |4911.89       |172.59      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-6145.04      |11453.04      |-153.65     |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   229243.08|     22.06|    22230.82|     33.74|
|第二季度      |   259659.60|     24.98|    19237.21|     29.20|
|第三季度      |   274313.51|     26.39|    13844.29|     21.01|
|第四季度      |   276092.65|     26.57|    10575.47|     16.05|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   214004.68|     24.51|    22605.61|     30.34|
|第二季度      |   188054.38|     21.54|    13941.77|     18.71|
|第三季度      |   232880.98|     26.67|    26136.07|     35.07|
|第四季度      |   238296.28|     27.29|    11834.67|     15.88|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.0064|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1893|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0270|    1.0280|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.7003|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.4857|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.77|     -0.80|      0.80|     -0.64|
|总资产现金回收率      |      1.32|      1.61|      1.49|      0.64|
|净利润率              |      1.31|      2.50|      2.97|      3.17|
|应收帐款              |     -0.41|     -0.21|      0.16|     -1.30|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.35|      0.70|      1.31|      0.37|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.62|     -0.71|     -1.35|     -0.28|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.83|     -0.83|     -3.18|     -0.71|
|留存盈利              |     -7.87|     -2.75|     -2.85|     -2.43|
|净资产收益率          |    194.00|    258.50|    298.11|    290.27|
|投资预警综合指数      |     36.79|     50.69|     57.69|     57.27|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.48|      0.47|      0.52|      0.21|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.48|      0.47|      0.52|      0.21|
|支付现金股利          |      0.17|      0.61|      0.16|      2.67|
|银行贷款率            |      0.75|      0.68|      0.77|      0.71|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.77|      0.77|      0.76|      0.50|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     11.33|     15.67|     17.99|     17.66|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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