☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200418   更新日期:2008-04-18◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0900    |0.9100    |0.5800    |0.1500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0900    |0.4400    |0.1860    |0.1300    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.4000    |4.3400    |3.7300    |3.3100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.0600    |21.0600   |14.7900   |3.9700    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8372    |1.8591    |1.9354    |1.9308    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.1603    |1.0694    |0.3440    |-0.0638   |
|主营业务收入(万元)|113795.55 |500069.17 |408739.98 |283823.91 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1622.30   |28510.02  |17673.87  |2929.52   |
|净利润(万元)      |3318.36   |33339.32  |20120.75  |4805.66   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0500    |0.0900    |0.0900    |0.0700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0500    |0.1300    |-         |0.0400    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.3300    |3.4300    |3.2900    |3.2600    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |3.1300    |3.1200    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.2500    |2.7500    |2.7400    |2.0900    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.9308    |1.8509    |1.9236    |1.9236    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|-0.0442   |0.2741    |-0.0086   |-0.0305   |
|主营业务收入(万元)|144822.72 |495129.54 |322571.59 |215671.45 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |1388.24   |4868.03   |3078.20   |1388.28   |
|净利润(万元)      |1522.00   |3443.07   |2806.69   |2361.96   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0900    |0.9100    |0.0900    |0.1100    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0900    |0.4400    |0.1300    |0.0400    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.4000    |4.3400    |3.4300    |3.2008    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8372    |1.8591    |1.8509    |1.9236    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.1603    |1.0694    |0.2741    |-0.0987   |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.4613   |1.0214    |0.8784    |0.1803    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.4353   |0.4417    |-0.1806   |0.0918    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|113795.55 |500069.17 |495129.54 |326016.95 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |63925.76  |
|经营费用(万元)    |16515.45  |59307.18  |65015.97  |46546.65  |
|管理费用(万元)    |4479.02   |16737.83  |19398.91  |15026.46  |
|财务费用(万元)    |1169.52   |5157.73   |5569.50   |4167.83   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-18.33    |-9.75     |36.87     |36.85     |
|营业利润(万元)    |4681.36   |42669.10  |4819.00   |1601.27   |
|投资收益(万元)    |1622.30   |28510.02  |4868.03   |2605.83   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |1135.40   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-299.75   |-770.53   |-1386.46  |-1107.27  |
|利润总额(万元)    |4381.61   |41898.58  |3432.53   |4235.23   |
|所得税(万元)      |811.50    |7207.46   |346.05    |820.08    |
|净利润(万元)      |3318.36   |33339.32  |3443.07   |4010.15   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |22.62     |19.91     |20.47     |19.94     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |19.61     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.06      |21.06     |2.75      |3.43      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.26      |5.47      |5.46      |4.59      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |2.48      |9.74      |8.87      |6.79      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.30      |1.31      |1.36      |0.99      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-21.42    |1.00      |51.87     |34.55     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |72.49     |785.44    |200.95    |43.70     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |118.03    |868.30    |-14.14    |2.73      |
|净资产增长率(%)   |32.10     |26.24     |7.30      |2.35      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |0.31      |-1.65     |11.88     |10.33     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |368681.33 |378451.62 |384794.83 |343930.12 |
|负债总额(万元)  |194063.09 |206602.57 |244774.95 |218136.80 |
|流动负债(万元)  |191774.81 |204345.72 |242877.46 |218029.99 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |106.81    |
|货币资金(万元)  |73421.09  |90761.31  |74632.14  |88227.77  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |44996.46  |46716.02  |56016.08  |55567.28  |
|其他应收款(万元)|9537.83   |10755.74  |14075.72  |5885.32   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |160811.89 |158291.25 |125392.57 |116862.29 |
|资产负债率(%)   |52.6370   |54.5915   |63.6118   |63.4247   |
|股东权益比率(%) |43.6181   |41.8260   |32.5868   |33.9784   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.3260    |1.2917    |1.0580    |1.1399    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.9366    |0.9734    |0.7233    |0.8512    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |153801.40 |659177.20 |628967.07 |570998.56 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-16845.09 |37292.23  |32072.75  |6582.91   |
|现金净流量(万元)|-15895.22 |16129.17  |-6597.20  |3353.85   |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-3338.22  |16.27     |387.21    |-136.70   |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |135.1559  |131.8172  |127.0308  |175.1438  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |164.1563  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |83.6340   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-465.21   |25368.72  |-23001.06 |-407.78   |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |1719.18   |-45827.75 |-14537.16 |-2160.69  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收票据(万元)      |43416.27      |25879.48      |67.76       |
|短期借款(万元)      |21250.00      |45430.00      |-53.22      |
|未分配利润(万元)    |42361.93      |-1612.78      |2726.63     |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-16845.09     |520.20        |-3338.23    |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |11100.00      |30356.14      |-63.43      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |11612.99      |30927.28      |-62.45      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |1719.18       |-20056.99     |108.57      |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |74866.09      |46687.16      |60.36       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   144822.72|     28.96|     1522.00|      4.57|
|第二季度      |   139001.19|     27.80|     3283.66|      9.85|
|第三季度      |   124916.07|     24.98|    15315.09|     45.94|
|第四季度      |    91329.18|     18.26|    13218.57|     39.65|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    97630.05|     19.72|     1120.14|     32.53|
|第二季度      |   121620.13|     24.56|     1241.82|     36.07|
|第三季度      |   129303.15|     26.12|      444.73|     12.92|
|第四季度      |   146576.21|     29.60|      636.37|     18.48|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.1695|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1554|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0602|    2.0206|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.8286|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.2346|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -1.34|      0.49|      0.49|     -0.83|
|总资产现金回收率      |      2.55|      1.82|     -0.53|     -0.22|
|净利润率              |     -0.52|     -0.64|     -5.87|     -1.50|
|应收帐款              |      0.13|      0.40|      0.59|      0.23|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.29|      0.65|     -1.07|     -0.57|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.54|    -23.19|     -0.51|     -0.94|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -2.00|     -1.08|     -0.39|     -0.11|
|留存盈利              |     -0.52|     -0.64|     -5.87|     -1.57|
|净资产收益率          |     56.00|     53.17|   -865.67|    -51.83|
|投资预警综合指数      |     10.03|      3.22|   -174.58|    -11.00|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.55|      0.60|      0.69|      0.55|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.55|      0.60|      0.69|      0.55|
|支付现金股利          |      0.76|      0.66|     -1.30|      1.10|
|银行贷款率            |          |          |          |      0.95|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.73|      0.81|      0.82|      0.78|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      3.29|      1.39|    -52.81|     -3.27|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   重警   |   中警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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