☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯200012   更新日期:2008-04-18◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1700    |0.4100    |0.2900    |0.1500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1300    |0.3900    |0.3000    |0.1600    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.5400    |3.3700    |2.4700    |2.3200    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.7000    |10.7700   |11.7200   |6.3500    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.5078    |1.5171    |0.6037    |0.5899    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7161    |0.5500    |0.4837    |0.3410    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|97719.51  |418796.26 |305256.84 |182732.44 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |4443.48   |2793.42   |-111.76   |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |19736.28  |43148.48  |29427.51  |14931.14  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0500    |0.3300    |0.2530    |0.1500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0500    |0.3300    |0.2470    |0.1500    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.6500    |2.5900    |2.5200    |2.4200    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |2.5000    |2.3900    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.0400    |12.7300   |10.0300   |6.2000    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5674    |0.5693    |0.5760    |0.5753    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6980    |0.6981    |0.5986    |0.4957    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|79879.79  |296481.62 |206097.55 |127540.93 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |4.84      |-         |-         |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |5479.12   |33511.08  |25526.56  |15146.95  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1700    |0.4100    |0.3300    |0.3100    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1300    |0.3900    |0.3300    |0.3000    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.5400    |3.3700    |2.5900    |2.4400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.5078    |1.5171    |0.5693    |0.5671    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.7161    |0.5500    |0.6981    |0.5259    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.0891    |0.9279    |0.7885    |0.9095    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.2442   |0.6558    |0.2488    |-0.0784   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|97719.51  |418796.26 |296481.62 |230201.67 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |73568.31  |
|经营费用(万元)    |5112.36   |25127.68  |19644.25  |16252.00  |
|管理费用(万元)    |6761.56   |29201.91  |21420.52  |12015.78  |
|财务费用(万元)    |11.56     |6491.81   |8798.22   |4549.26   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-29.79    |21.97     |51.94     |41.44     |
|营业利润(万元)    |24652.18  |64298.35  |44451.61  |41098.55  |
|投资收益(万元)    |4443.48   |2793.42   |-         |187.95    |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |252.63    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |58.63     |-851.64   |462.87    |-970.65   |
|利润总额(万元)    |24710.81  |63446.71  |44914.48  |40568.48  |
|所得税(万元)      |2108.88   |6721.21   |3233.06   |2699.70   |
|净利润(万元)      |19736.28  |43148.48  |33511.08  |31641.15  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |32.53     |30.53     |32.15     |32.13     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |31.96     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.70      |10.77     |12.73     |12.78     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.86      |9.00      |6.36      |5.11      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |3.29      |13.70     |10.15     |9.25      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.11      |0.55      |0.48      |0.45      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |22.33     |41.26     |28.79     |22.32     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |206.16    |44.65     |8.16      |3.85      |
|税后利润增长率(%) |260.21    |28.76     |5.91      |-6.67     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |56.39     |52.21     |6.32      |6.32      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |28.42     |24.74     |22.69     |16.51     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |878551.15 |845298.19 |677632.14 |552332.35 |
|负债总额(万元)  |427063.67 |416736.81 |383151.19 |280757.72 |
|流动负债(万元)  |371314.13 |359899.64 |306947.03 |189358.98 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |91398.73  |
|货币资金(万元)  |124920.82 |127819.42 |53877.08  |28222.14  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |28036.23  |31371.16  |29751.12  |28685.00  |
|其他应收款(万元)|7564.84   |10718.77  |2493.58   |2550.49   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |420240.11 |400701.41 |263250.99 |247592.72 |
|资产负债率(%)   |48.6099   |49.3005   |56.5426   |50.8313   |
|股东权益比率(%) |47.8333   |47.4035   |38.8486   |44.8267   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.5695    |0.5928    |0.4193    |0.4999    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.4660    |0.5025    |0.3145    |0.3357    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |106507.12 |395896.39 |290605.21 |249204.80 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |10589.95  |110231.55 |80079.26  |92360.90  |
|现金净流量(万元)|-29017.18 |77913.98  |25270.35  |-7968.61  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-42.18    |37.65     |-13.29    |60.42     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |108.9927  |94.5320   |98.0180   |108.2550  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |291.9012  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-25.1843  |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-42853.29 |-134015.88|-108637.03|-95776.34 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |3544.35   |102484.83 |53971.33  |-3146.11  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |124920.82     |28762.09      |334.32      |
|其他应收款(万元)    |7564.84       |2137.00       |253.99      |
|流动资产合计(万元)  |211485.41     |115443.97     |83.19       |
|在建工程(万元)      |121037.47     |55136.00      |119.53      |
|资本公积(万元)      |179121.89     |57615.21      |210.89      |
|营业利润(万元)      |24652.18      |8052.08       |206.16      |
|利润总额(万元)      |24710.81      |7917.53       |212.10      |
|净利润(万元)        |19736.28      |5479.12       |260.21      |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |26001.15      |4153.25       |526.04      |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |57971.58      |25769.50      |124.96      |
|支付其他与投资      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |8582.86       |838.65        |923.41      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |68854.44      |26608.15      |158.77      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-42853.29     |-22454.90     |-90.84      |
|支付其他与筹资      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |26124.00      |717.40        |3541.47     |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |3544.35       |-17600.03     |120.14      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |19736.28      |5479.12       |260.21      |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |96943.48      |26257.93      |269.20      |
|减:现金期初余额(万元|125960.66     |48046.67      |162.16      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    79879.79|     19.07|     5479.12|     12.70|
|第二季度      |   102852.65|     24.56|     9452.02|     21.91|
|第三季度      |   122524.40|     29.26|    14496.37|     33.60|
|第四季度      |   113539.42|     27.11|    13720.97|     31.80|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    57085.04|     19.25|     4947.48|     14.76|
|第二季度      |    71569.51|     24.14|    10199.47|     30.44|
|第三季度      |    78979.17|     26.64|    10379.60|     30.97|
|第四季度      |    88847.91|     29.97|     7984.52|     23.83|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.1819|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1377|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.1125|    1.1932|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.9840|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.4449|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.92|     -0.16|     -0.17|     -0.78|
|总资产现金回收率      |      0.82|      0.52|      0.53|      0.64|
|净利润率              |      1.89|      0.83|      0.50|      0.38|
|应收帐款              |     -0.42|     -0.14|      0.08|      0.20|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.26|      0.24|      0.23|      0.07|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.92|     -1.95|     -1.88|     -0.75|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.54|     -1.33|     -1.29|     -0.43|
|留存盈利              |     -4.27|     -9.10|      7.85|      1.88|
|净资产收益率          |    241.67|    160.00|    141.67|    135.56|
|投资预警综合指数      |     47.04|     29.20|     28.95|     27.13|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.21|      0.22|      0.24|      0.32|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.21|      0.22|      0.24|      0.32|
|支付现金股利          |      0.94|      0.84|      0.84|      2.24|
|银行贷款率            |      0.71|      0.71|      0.69|      0.76|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.14|      0.35|      0.45|      0.63|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     14.37|      9.02|      8.94|      8.48|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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