☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000513   更新日期:2008-04-19◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1700    |1.6600    |1.4700    |0.7600    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1641    |1.6200    |1.4600    |0.7500    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.3800    |6.3500    |6.1100    |5.3900    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.6400    |26.1700   |24.0500   |14.0800   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.4462    |1.5640    |1.5492    |1.5347    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.6706    |2.6706    |2.4968    |1.7857    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|52448.98  |174810.84 |125250.53 |81507.03  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |3305.91   |22267.50  |21535.77  |11894.70  |
|净利润(万元)      |5159.81   |50845.11  |44998.48  |23237.58  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.4300    |0.5000    |0.2800    |0.2000    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.4200    |0.5000    |-         |0.1400    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.9800    |4.5700    |4.2000    |4.1300    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |4.1700    |4.0900    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |8.5400    |10.9700   |6.6245    |4.8500    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.4472    |1.4460    |1.4140    |1.4137    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.0264    |1.1659    |0.7801    |0.7018    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|39084.42  |159050.19 |108940.41 |73760.51  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |2940.53   |10178.97  |2070.43   |1724.98   |
|净利润(万元)      |13016.60  |15346.51  |11158.06  |7015.82   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1700    |1.6600    |0.5000    |0.3500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1641    |1.6200    |0.5000    |0.2800    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.3800    |6.3500    |4.5700    |3.9400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.4462    |1.5640    |1.4460    |1.4137    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.6706    |2.6706    |1.1659    |0.5016    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.1109    |0.8121    |0.7399    |0.5263    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.3200    |-0.0085   |0.5043    |-0.5684   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|52448.98  |174810.84 |159050.19 |162614.59 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |71579.68  |
|经营费用(万元)    |7691.24   |26486.63  |31211.78  |34565.11  |
|管理费用(万元)    |4319.96   |19461.43  |21311.59  |23824.08  |
|财务费用(万元)    |-61.24    |1711.38   |2495.58   |1405.70   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |14.18     |-13.37    |-7.98     |-6.58     |
|营业利润(万元)    |7087.93   |61375.58  |20056.56  |12060.82  |
|投资收益(万元)    |3305.91   |22267.50  |10178.97  |1112.76   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |138.98    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |190.52    |622.30    |149.28    |-103.84   |
|利润总额(万元)    |7278.45   |61997.88  |20205.84  |13208.71  |
|所得税(万元)      |1694.33   |9659.79   |3850.70   |1581.52   |
|净利润(万元)      |5159.81   |50845.11  |15346.51  |10789.19  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |41.36     |44.30     |44.72     |44.27     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |44.02     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.64      |26.17     |10.97     |8.96      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.98      |3.21      |3.38      |4.01      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.44      |6.01      |6.44      |6.47      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.18      |0.64      |0.68      |0.74      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |34.19     |9.91      |-2.19     |4.59      |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-53.99    |206.01    |66.30     |-4.73     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-60.36    |231.31    |42.24     |-13.03    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |28.20     |38.93     |16.10     |5.67      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |12.60     |17.12     |16.25     |-1.74     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |300077.24 |294572.34 |251514.67 |216363.52 |
|负债总额(万元)  |100262.93 |95479.84  |107653.94 |92519.96  |
|流动负债(万元)  |90178.75  |83645.31  |93984.16  |90794.95  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |1725.01   |
|货币资金(万元)  |38062.42  |28266.31  |28385.25  |12949.88  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |41000.30  |31999.23  |26187.31  |23192.95  |
|其他应收款(万元)|1850.29   |1663.48   |3494.71   |2827.75   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |195386.36 |194266.41 |139833.63 |120438.55 |
|资产负债率(%)   |33.4123   |32.4130   |42.8022   |42.7613   |
|股东权益比率(%) |65.1120   |65.9486   |55.5966   |55.6649   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.8863    |1.8961    |1.2634    |0.9298    |
|速动比率(%)     |1.5490    |1.5071    |0.9642    |0.6666    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |38681.47  |144078.28 |138287.34 |151656.83 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |3394.63   |24855.35  |22646.11  |16107.03  |
|现金净流量(万元)|9796.11   |-262.73   |15435.37  |-17397.60 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-49.22    |9.75      |40.59     |-11.23    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |73.7507   |82.4195   |86.9457   |93.2615   |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |47.4900   |138.4648  |149.2885  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-0.5020   |94.3763   |-161.2502 |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |417.75    |-1440.68  |-13617.29 |-22146.59 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |6096.69   |-23304.58 |6424.87   |-11192.42 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收票据(万元)      |12183.01      |7009.64       |73.80       |
|在建工程(万元)      |4441.28       |9735.81       |-54.38      |
|未分配利润(万元)    |81730.30      |31411.41      |160.19      |
|减:                 |              |              |            |
|主营业务成本(万元)  |30753.47      |20302.09      |51.48       |
|营业利润(万元)      |7087.93       |15405.43      |-53.99      |
|利润总额(万元)      |7278.45       |15441.66      |-52.86      |
|净利润(万元)        |5159.81       |13016.60      |-60.36      |
|收回投资所          |              |              |            |
|收到的现金(万元)    |3922.36       |9991.57       |-60.74      |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |4025.73       |10065.76      |-60.01      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |3607.98       |9987.31       |-63.87      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |9796.11       |1786.73       |448.27      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |5159.81       |13016.60      |-60.36      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |9796.11       |1786.73       |448.27      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    39084.42|     22.36|    13016.60|     25.60|
|第二季度      |    42422.61|     24.27|    10220.98|     20.10|
|第三季度      |    43743.50|     25.02|    21760.90|     42.80|
|第四季度      |    49560.31|     28.35|     5846.63|     11.50|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    38307.42|     24.09|     4076.75|     26.56|
|第二季度      |    42284.36|     26.59|     2939.07|     19.15|
|第三季度      |    34287.19|     21.56|     4142.25|     26.99|
|第四季度      |    44171.22|     27.77|     4188.45|     27.29|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.2663|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.3883|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0962|    2.3350|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      1.9487|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.6991|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.55|     -0.74|      0.60|     -0.78|
|总资产现金回收率      |      1.73|      1.57|      1.73|      1.24|
|净利润率              |      1.13|      0.66|      0.15|     -0.08|
|应收帐款              |     -0.01|      0.13|      0.14|      0.31|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.58|      0.40|      0.76|      0.18|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |      4.48|     -0.63|     -2.29|     -0.75|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.95|     -0.47|     -1.84|     -0.26|
|留存盈利              |      5.32|      1.45|      0.33|     -0.10|
|净资产收益率          |    180.42|    146.17|    109.00|     90.39|
|投资预警综合指数      |     38.20|     29.19|     20.63|     17.76|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.49|      0.59|      0.63|      0.57|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.49|      0.59|      0.63|      0.57|
|支付现金股利          |      0.94|      0.60|      0.85|      1.14|
|银行贷款率            |      0.75|      0.90|      0.86|      0.94|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.63|      0.73|      0.81|      0.78|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     11.90|      9.12|      6.72|      5.66|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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