☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000488   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2800    |0.6000    |0.4600    |0.2600    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2200    |0.5500    |0.3900    |0.2070    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.4000    |5.1250    |4.9400    |4.7700    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |5.0900    |11.0600   |8.1200    |4.7800    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|2.1906    |2.1906    |2.0145    |2.0139    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.7851    |1.5100    |1.5317    |1.3580    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|411903.88 |1516474.25|1096661.63|679789.67 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-739.40   |-946.16   |25.96     |-19.09    |
|净利润(万元)      |46926.33  |96763.62  |68522.25  |38892.89  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1200    |0.2600    |0.3300    |0.2200    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0890    |0.2900    |0.2700    |0.1700    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.6400    |4.5045    |4.2700    |4.1700    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |4.2000    |4.0400    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.5600    |5.8000    |7.7700    |5.2900    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8377    |1.6464    |1.3893    |1.3909    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.3360    |1.3875    |1.4360    |1.3252    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|311983.86 |1198346.46|880053.51 |596343.60 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |8010.07   |523.87    |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |17255.30  |35690.72  |46217.94  |29650.24  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.2800    |0.6000    |0.2600    |0.4451    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2200    |0.5500    |0.2900    |0.3930    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.4000    |5.1250    |4.5045    |4.0380    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|2.1906    |2.1906    |1.6464    |1.3480    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.7851    |1.5100    |1.3875    |1.2348    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.3165    |0.7760    |0.7385    |0.7489    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.3015    |-0.0999   |-0.0826   |-0.5091   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|411903.88 |1516474.25|1198346.46|972234.61 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |194549.11 |
|经营费用(万元)    |18741.01  |78328.93  |67817.43  |53660.84  |
|管理费用(万元)    |13880.07  |53082.09  |51654.89  |49543.86  |
|财务费用(万元)    |2640.69   |39216.31  |45144.95  |19317.67  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |4.26      |3.65      |34.35     |32.02     |
|营业利润(万元)    |53487.12  |128484.40 |65442.06  |74282.46  |
|投资收益(万元)    |-739.40   |-946.16   |8010.07   |513.50    |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |13947.55  |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |14409.85  |20449.22  |-3872.99  |-2402.58  |
|利润总额(万元)    |67896.97  |148933.62 |61569.08  |86340.92  |
|所得税(万元)      |14313.46  |27079.50  |10074.12  |20156.30  |
|净利润(万元)      |46926.33  |96763.62  |35690.72  |60243.33  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |21.44     |20.38     |18.99     |20.25     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |20.01     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |5.09      |11.06     |5.80      |11.02     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.60      |6.73      |4.83      |4.10      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |2.46      |8.97      |7.62      |7.84      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.18      |0.71      |0.62      |0.57      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |32.03     |26.55     |23.26     |37.62     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |206.03    |96.33     |-11.90    |-0.78     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |171.95    |171.12    |-40.76    |19.60     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |36.85     |42.16     |12.55     |12.95     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |4.01      |7.07      |14.41     |13.37     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |2251771.47|2201110.83|2055856.06|1796941.41|
|负债总额(万元)  |1153240.13|1143054.86|1266930.84|1077903.32|
|流动负债(万元)  |739866.78 |736742.01 |586656.01 |698138.48 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |379764.84 |
|货币资金(万元)  |115419.56 |74062.18  |82626.98  |100635.87 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |168359.27 |166002.07 |172029.13 |142464.71 |
|其他应收款(万元)|14777.40  |19616.27  |13991.72  |21884.98  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |921476.62 |874503.50 |615164.23 |546560.54 |
|资产负债率(%)   |51.2147   |51.9308   |61.6254   |59.9854   |
|股东权益比率(%) |40.9222   |39.7300   |29.9225   |30.4161   |
|流动比率(%)     |0.9423    |0.8955    |1.0170    |0.8119    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.6328    |0.6587    |0.7031    |0.5004    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |385973.44 |1534693.32|1076918.17|1086850.20|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |54017.69  |132426.31 |100855.82 |101371.88 |
|现金净流量(万元)|51456.93  |-17049.39 |-11283.20 |-68918.83 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |73.23     |31.30     |-0.50     |149.53    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |93.7047   |101.2014  |89.8670   |111.7889  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |168.2707  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-114.4008 |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-14142.67 |-97700.15 |-279820.78|-245814.12|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |11589.30  |-51299.63 |166048.38 |75170.35  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|预付账款(万元)      |66112.24      |40529.53      |63.12       |
|无形资产(万元)      |82711.36      |22814.74      |262.53      |
|递延税款借项(万元)  |10194.79      |4097.01       |148.83      |
|短期借款(万元)      |258698.70     |109732.43     |135.75      |
|应交税金(万元)      |13145.30      |616.04        |2033.85     |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |122072.06     |24383.72      |400.63      |
|其他流动负债(万元)  |51130.64      |179.00        |28464.60    |
|应付债券(万元)      |-             |137440.88     |-100.00     |
|未分配利润(万元)    |304591.36     |193892.20     |57.09       |
|减:营业费用(万元)   |18741.01      |11982.91      |56.40       |
|减:财务费用(万元)   |2640.69       |11419.98      |-76.88      |
|营业利润(万元)      |53487.12      |17478.01      |206.03      |
|加:营业外收入(万元) |14698.48      |9422.14       |56.00       |
|利润总额(万元)      |67896.97      |26734.47      |153.97      |
|减:所得税(万元)     |14313.46      |5668.36       |152.51      |
|净利润(万元)        |46926.33      |17255.30      |171.95      |
|支付给职工以及为    |              |              |            |
|职工支付的现金(万元)|16821.78      |11165.10      |50.66       |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |54017.69      |31181.87      |73.23       |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |17768.29      |44218.42      |-59.82      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |17768.29      |44304.55      |-59.90      |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-14142.67     |-44112.10     |67.94       |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |301406.34     |149448.68     |101.68      |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |311446.43     |149449.71     |108.40      |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |286036.92     |118239.15     |141.91      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |299857.14     |131262.59     |128.44      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |51456.93      |5573.34       |823.27      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |46926.33      |17255.30      |171.95      |
|加:财务费用(万元)  |2640.69       |11419.98      |-76.88      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |51456.93      |5573.34       |823.27      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   311983.86|     20.57|    17255.30|     17.83|
|第二季度      |   367805.82|     24.25|    21637.60|     22.36|
|第三季度      |   416871.96|     27.49|    29629.36|     30.62|
|第四季度      |   419812.61|     27.68|    28241.37|     29.19|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   295016.69|     24.62|    15626.86|     43.78|
|第二季度      |   313620.97|     26.17|    14023.39|     39.29|
|第三季度      |   297241.89|     24.80|    16567.70|     46.42|
|第四季度      |   292466.90|     24.41|   -10527.23|    -29.50|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |     -0.0189|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1674|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.1253|    1.5833|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.7990|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.7316|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.98|     -0.84|      0.47|     -0.92|
|总资产现金回收率      |      3.36|      4.01|      0.49|     -0.09|
|净利润率              |      1.27|      2.28|      1.46|      0.32|
|应收帐款              |     -0.02|     -0.23|     -0.74|     -0.75|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.96|      1.36|      0.43|     -0.39|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.99|      0.49|     -1.47|     -0.94|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.86|     -0.84|     -3.50|     -0.10|
|留存盈利              |      2.13|      4.28|      1.76|      0.32|
|净资产收益率          |    172.50|    238.17|    170.17|     73.50|
|投资预警综合指数      |     34.37|     48.39|     32.90|     14.45|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.40|      0.45|      0.38|      0.14|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.40|      0.45|      0.38|      0.14|
|支付现金股利          |      0.85|      0.89|      0.34|      1.00|
|银行贷款率            |      0.78|      0.85|      0.98|          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.32|      0.54|      0.38|     -0.32|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     10.88|     15.26|     10.19|      4.26|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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