☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000039   更新日期:2008-04-29◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1524    |1.1900    |0.7238    |0.5000    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1485    |1.0700    |0.7219    |0.5000    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.1449    |5.9800    |5.2300    |5.0900    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.4800    |19.0400   |14.2300   |9.7700    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.5480    |1.3347    |0.8795    |0.8986    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|3.0351    |2.8827    |2.3165    |2.0924    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|1198788.50|4876082.60|3669910.73|2338813.41|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |5527.10   |146626.80 |44508.40  |25198.60  |
|净利润(万元)      |40581.10  |316537.30 |192694.84 |132306.65 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2609    |1.0600    |0.9850    |0.6100    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2591    |1.0500    |0.8130    |0.4300    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.7251    |4.5900    |4.8100    |4.4900    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |4.7800    |4.4600    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.5600    |22.5000   |20.4700   |13.5700   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.7254    |0.7287    |0.3346    |0.3345    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|2.6055    |2.4625    |1.9604    |1.5754    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|1020459.76|3357366.40|2533336.39|1457292.90|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |5543.00   |38855.90  |21530.18  |12774.31  |
|净利润(万元)      |57893.10  |282075.20 |218891.82 |138599.81 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1524    |1.1900    |1.0600    |1.3200    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1485    |1.0700    |1.0500    |1.2900    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.1449    |5.9800    |4.5900    |4.6900    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.5480    |1.3347    |0.7287    |0.4668    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|3.0351    |2.8827    |2.4625    |1.1008    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-1.5440   |-0.4077   |0.5845    |2.6364    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.0641   |0.4004    |-0.3889   |0.6654    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|1198788.50|4876082.60|3357366.40|3095931.06|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |506012.17 |
|经营费用(万元)    |24702.40  |115284.60 |100762.30 |80429.26  |
|管理费用(万元)    |33525.30  |159808.30 |109654.90 |130103.59 |
|财务费用(万元)    |10378.50  |37170.40  |6240.50   |14828.95  |
|三项费用增长率(%) |4.62      |44.12     |-3.86     |31.18     |
|营业利润(万元)    |48127.10  |345738.70 |316879.00 |302342.74 |
|投资收益(万元)    |5527.10   |146626.80 |38855.90  |3759.94   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |903.16    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |1146.70   |4291.70   |1799.80   |-883.12   |
|利润总额(万元)    |49273.80  |350030.40 |318678.80 |306122.71 |
|所得税(万元)      |4908.20   |17469.80  |20252.90  |24346.72  |
|净利润(万元)      |40581.10  |316537.30 |282075.20 |266914.08 |
|销售毛利率(%)     |10.28     |10.17     |14.17     |16.36     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |16.34     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.48      |19.04     |22.50     |28.23     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.27      |7.04      |7.12      |6.50      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.26      |6.93      |7.78      |7.42      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.28      |1.51      |1.62      |1.82      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |17.48     |45.24     |8.44      |16.53     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-25.85    |9.11      |4.81      |0.34      |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-29.90    |12.22     |5.68      |11.73     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |28.80     |30.23     |29.23     |26.57     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |65.73     |66.97     |40.87     |1.65      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |4603640.60|4039192.00|2419157.10|1717307.12|
|负债总额(万元)  |2803477.70|2284961.90|1112325.90|682357.43 |
|流动负债(万元)  |2001808.10|1713498.60|1015331.90|638139.24 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |44218.18  |
|货币资金(万元)  |288369.90 |305443.20 |201687.60 |282822.30 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |1015308.30|889976.90 |518086.80 |344982.66 |
|其他应收款(万元)|93570.70  |114724.60 |49639.70  |21330.82  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |1636017.80|1591375.70|1222011.40|945591.28 |
|资产负债率(%)   |60.8969   |56.5697   |45.9798   |39.7341   |
|股东权益比率(%) |35.5374   |39.3983   |50.5139   |55.0624   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.4503    |1.4220    |1.4896    |1.7820    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.9891    |0.9717    |1.0240    |1.2537    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |1014232.00|4248521.80|3277802.40|3326988.03|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-411087.80|-108554.90|129682.30 |531757.97 |
|现金净流量(万元)|-17073.60 |106609.90 |-86292.60 |134210.61 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |216.04    |-183.70   |-75.61    |267.15    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |84.6047   |87.1298   |97.6302   |107.4632  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |199.2244  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |50.2823   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-101093.30|-299826.20|-186906.10|-165997.61|
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |501586.90 |544774.20 |-25059.70 |-227113.86|
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |288369.90     |154430.86     |86.73       |
|应收票据(万元)      |38957.90      |6246.06       |523.72      |
|预付账款(万元)      |388506.80     |236973.22     |63.95       |
|存货(万元)          |923327.30     |605844.65     |52.40       |
|一年内到期的长期    |              |              |            |
|债权投资(万元)      |8444.40       |732.88        |1052.22     |
|流动资产合计(万元)  |2903325.30    |1846002.26    |57.28       |
|长期股权投资(万元)  |105361.20     |65150.01      |61.72       |
|在建工程(万元)      |100943.60     |60288.36      |67.43       |
|无形资产(万元)      |228374.40     |140406.66     |62.65       |
|递延税款借项(万元)  |30307.70      |11703.59      |158.96      |
|资产总计(万元)      |4603640.60    |2777858.56    |65.73       |
|短期借款(万元)      |510520.00     |236385.92     |115.97      |
|应付票据(万元)      |267228.90     |150955.33     |77.03       |
|预收账款(万元)      |84630.20      |45950.04      |84.18       |
|预计负债(万元)      |-             |60654.68      |-100.00     |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |125386.20     |2000.00       |6169.31     |
|流动负债合计(万元)  |2001808.10    |1250045.31    |60.14       |
|长期借款(万元)      |667703.20     |99480.00      |571.19      |
|专项应付款(万元)    |704.10        |7512.95       |-90.63      |
|递延税款贷项(万元)  |132140.90     |16394.70      |706.00      |
|负债合计(万元)      |2803477.70    |1434087.64    |95.49       |
|少数股东权益(万元   |164145.10     |73560.54      |123.14      |
|资本公积(万元)      |412144.90     |160952.01     |156.07      |
|外币报表            |              |              |            |
|折算差额(万元)      |-200128.00    |-66537.18     |-200.78     |
|负债和股东          |              |              |            |
|权益总计(万元)      |4603640.60    |2777858.56    |65.73       |
|减:财务费用(万元)   |10378.50      |4470.00       |132.18      |
|加:外币报表        |              |              |            |
|折算差额(万元)      |-200128.00    |-66537.18     |-200.78     |
|收到的税费返还(万元)|77761.50      |40437.60      |92.30       |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |17165.90      |38305.90      |-55.19      |
|支付的各项税费(万元)|30236.60      |15574.70      |94.14       |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-411087.80    |-130074.20    |-216.04     |
|投资现金流入        |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |12470.40      |270.40        |4511.83     |
|投资所支付的现金    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |55068.20      |36686.50      |50.10       |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |806092.70     |382684.80     |110.64      |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |806092.70     |382776.20     |110.59      |
|分配股利利润或偿付利|              |              |            |
|息所支付的现金(万元)|17134.10      |2235.10       |666.59      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |501586.90     |160303.00     |212.90      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-17073.60     |-47256.60     |63.87       |
|加:财务费用(万元)  |10378.50      |4470.00       |132.18      |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |284461.20     |154431.00     |84.20       |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-17073.60     |-47256.60     |63.87       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |  1020459.80|     20.93|    57893.10|     18.29|
|第二季度      |  1318353.61|     27.04|    74413.55|     23.51|
|第三季度      |  1331097.32|     27.30|    60388.19|     19.08|
|第四季度      |  1206171.87|     24.74|   123842.46|     39.12|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   562298.06|     16.75|    51057.50|     18.10|
|第二季度      |   940575.27|     28.02|    87542.31|     31.04|
|第三季度      |  1095425.94|     32.63|    80292.02|     28.46|
|第四季度      |   759067.13|     22.61|    63183.38|     22.40|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.1958|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.2514|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0518|    1.7991|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.5835|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.0416|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -4.08|     -0.87|     -6.18|     -0.19|
|总资产现金回收率      |    -14.18|     18.55|      0.77|      2.40|
|净利润率              |     10.33|      3.65|      2.76|      4.13|
|应收帐款              |     -1.14|     -0.76|     -0.50|      0.33|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -3.64|      5.88|     -1.17|      1.55|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.22|     -0.81|     -2.76|     -7.07|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -4.84|     -0.59|     -2.00|     -1.11|
|留存盈利              |     -7.42|     -5.78|      2.76|     -6.81|
|净资产收益率          |    532.00|    214.00|    270.49|    376.71|
|投资预警综合指数      |    103.10|     41.22|     53.22|     71.53|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.92|      0.91|      0.79|      0.68|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.92|      0.91|      0.79|      0.68|
|支付现金股利          |      0.95|      1.02|     -0.46|      1.32|
|银行贷款率            |      0.65|      0.71|          |      0.89|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.90|      0.93|      0.82|      0.78|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     29.73|     14.99|     15.58|     22.36|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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