☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000016   更新日期:2008-04-26◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0782    |0.3480    |0.0925    |0.0706    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0810    |0.3490    |0.0910    |0.0677    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.9280    |5.8940    |5.5830    |5.5600    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.3200    |5.9000    |1.6600    |1.2690    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|3.1042    |3.1311    |3.0887    |3.0887    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.5291    |0.4510    |0.2016    |0.1797    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|307716.72 |1216907.84|849237.05 |561410.65 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |156.21    |864.24    |365.07    |2.41      |
|净利润(万元)      |4706.54   |20919.85  |5567.05   |4247.39   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0436    |0.1610    |0.0804    |0.0600    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0433    |0.1640    |0.0833    |0.0600    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.6400    |5.5970    |5.4000    |5.3900    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |5.2340    |5.1500    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |0.7734    |2.8700    |1.4900    |1.0300    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|3.0887    |3.0887    |3.0878    |3.0878    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.2527    |0.2042    |0.1835    |0.1585    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|340094.05 |1273097.84|855993.45 |553812.58 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |133.85    |-49.02    |-49.02    |
|净利润(万元)      |2625.89   |9677.49   |3844.31   |2972.50   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |审计意见  |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.0782    |0.3480    |0.1610    |0.1190    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0810    |0.3490    |0.1640    |0.1070    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.9280    |5.8940    |5.5970    |5.3340    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|3.1042    |3.1311    |3.0887    |3.0878    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.5291    |0.4510    |0.2042    |0.1031    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.6434   |0.5003    |0.2999    |-0.1684   |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.4720   |0.1234    |0.0815    |-0.3697   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|307716.72 |1216907.84|1273097.84|1145589.16|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |188346.63 |
|经营费用(万元)    |36668.86  |159245.23 |152885.64 |141919.97 |
|管理费用(万元)    |10646.91  |41814.66  |45273.32  |44576.28  |
|财务费用(万元)    |940.61    |4085.22   |1384.47   |1235.29   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-6.56     |2.80      |6.29      |0.59      |
|营业利润(万元)    |6594.27   |24695.32  |11924.84  |3264.94   |
|投资收益(万元)    |156.21    |864.24    |133.85    |723.67    |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |280.90    |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-175.36   |94.56     |-315.12   |-269.33   |
|利润总额(万元)    |6418.92   |24789.88  |11609.72  |4000.18   |
|所得税(万元)      |1593.51   |3386.79   |1182.92   |1151.36   |
|净利润(万元)      |4706.54   |20919.85  |9677.49   |7189.89   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |17.69     |19.43     |17.02     |16.45     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |16.44     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.32      |5.90      |2.87      |2.24      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.91      |3.02      |3.05      |2.75      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |3.10      |12.22     |15.63     |18.34     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.34      |1.26      |1.33      |1.22      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-9.52     |-4.41     |11.13     |-14.27    |
|营业利润增长率(%) |130.70    |107.09    |265.24    |-75.57    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |79.24     |116.17    |34.60     |-48.91    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |5.10      |5.31      |4.92      |0.54      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |-7.81     |-7.40     |9.86      |-4.97     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |863060.88 |927797.50 |1001952.70|912045.23 |
|负债总额(万元)  |482727.88 |549198.63 |640681.74 |565336.40 |
|流动负债(万元)  |479852.07 |545837.63 |640681.74 |563318.48 |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |2017.91   |
|货币资金(万元)  |46840.02  |75255.84  |67823.98  |62916.00  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |94196.45  |104018.29 |95127.73  |67736.42  |
|其他应收款(万元)|9740.31   |13231.83  |9037.10   |9393.60   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |356847.85 |354782.71 |336905.76 |321121.23 |
|资产负债率(%)   |55.9320   |59.1938   |63.9433   |61.9855   |
|股东权益比率(%) |41.3467   |38.2392   |33.6249   |35.2089   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.4674    |1.3980    |1.3298    |1.3609    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.9134    |0.8633    |0.7754    |0.7599    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |345557.68 |1338637.50|1580596.24|1353152.23|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-38737.33 |30121.55  |18058.18  |-10137.48 |
|现金净流量(万元)|-28415.82 |7431.86   |4907.99   |-22260.21 |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-151.46   |66.80     |-278.13   |-72.87    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |112.2973  |110.0032  |124.1536  |118.1185  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |-140.9962 |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |-309.6041 |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-3957.17  |-16092.41 |-10296.74 |-9400.31  |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |14745.30  |-6248.26  |-2711.26  |-2597.55  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |46840.02      |140687.63     |-66.71      |
|预付账款(万元)      |16686.23      |7207.39       |131.52      |
|长期股权投资(万元)  |2647.24       |7671.84       |-65.49      |
|短期借款(万元)      |17200.00      |1500.00       |1046.67     |
|预收账款(万元)      |17822.03      |42978.65      |-58.53      |
|其他应付款(万元)    |56963.73      |26615.74      |114.02      |
|其他流动负债(万元)  |-             |7060.67       |-100.00     |
|未分配利润(万元)    |31853.70      |15213.43      |109.38      |
|支付给职工以及为    |              |              |            |
|职工支付的现金(万元)|24469.56      |7778.98       |214.56      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-38737.33     |75265.41      |-151.47     |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |15000.00      |200.00        |7400.00     |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |14745.30      |-67.55        |21927.14    |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-28415.82     |72863.65      |-139.00     |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |46840.02      |140687.63     |-66.71      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-28415.82     |72863.65      |-139.00     |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   340094.05|     27.95|     2625.89|     12.55|
|第二季度      |   221316.60|     18.19|     1621.51|      7.75|
|第三季度      |   287826.41|     23.65|     1319.66|      6.31|
|第四季度      |   367670.78|     30.21|    15352.80|     73.39|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   321728.47|     25.27|     2425.96|     25.07|
|第二季度      |   235434.69|     18.49|      546.54|      5.65|
|第三季度      |   303535.35|     23.84|      871.81|      9.01|
|第四季度      |   412399.33|     32.39|     5833.18|     60.28|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.2598|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1274|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0341|    2.1341|    中警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.7392|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      1.4261|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -1.24|     -1.45|      1.28|     -0.36|
|总资产现金回收率      |    197.81|    320.60|     28.02|      0.79|
|净利润率              |     -0.21|     -0.47|     -0.82|     -4.79|
|应收帐款              |     -0.50|      0.45|      0.71|      0.53|
|经营预警综合指数      |     58.83|     95.74|      8.77|     -0.72|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.25|     -1.27|     -3.96|     -0.57|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -2.00|      0.37|     -1.69|     -0.29|
|留存盈利              |     -0.21|     -0.47|     -0.82|     -4.79|
|净资产收益率          |     72.50|     54.17|     19.08|   -404.02|
|投资预警综合指数      |     13.48|     10.47|      1.96|    -82.02|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.99|      1.00|      0.97|      0.76|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.99|      1.00|      0.97|      0.76|
|支付现金股利          |      1.00|      0.98|      0.93|      1.00|
|银行贷款率            |          |          |          |          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      1.00|      1.00|      0.99|      0.87|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     27.82|     41.68|      4.32|    -24.69|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |   重警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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