☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯000002   更新日期:2008-04-25◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|2007-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1050    |0.7300    |0.2900    |0.2500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1050    |0.7300    |0.2900    |0.2500    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.4000    |4.2600    |3.8000    |2.4100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.3800    |16.5500   |11.4900   |10.5500   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8858    |1.8671    |1.8427    |0.4510    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6914    |0.5869    |0.3054    |0.2822    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|640043.58 |3552661.13|1417346.59|1109652.09|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |697.32    |20803.07  |476.83    |-1029.15  |
|净利润(万元)      |71813.33  |484423.55 |191688.68 |166799.99 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-03-31|2006-12-31|2006-09-30|2006-06-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1400    |0.3900    |0.3420    |0.3080    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1400    |0.3800    |0.3210    |0.2850    |
|每股净资产(元)    |3.5800    |3.4200    |2.5060    |2.6200    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |2.4490    |2.5800    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |3.9100    |15.3900   |13.6600   |11.7400   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.2412    |1.2163    |0.4280    |0.4280    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3304    |0.1903    |0.3470    |0.4622    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|411413.88 |1791833.15|846002.97 |661768.32 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-297.25   |17081.19  |12925.30  |9956.06   |
|净利润(万元)      |61234.93  |229788.38 |145336.95 |127057.86 |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1050    |0.7300    |0.3900    |0.3630    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1050    |0.7300    |0.3800    |0.3590    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.4000    |4.2600    |3.4200    |2.2320    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8858    |1.8671    |1.2163    |0.2889    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6914    |0.5869    |0.1903    |0.1649    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.2066   |-1.5188   |-0.6920   |0.2265    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.2066   |0.9171    |1.7150    |0.0314    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|640043.58 |3552661.13|1791833.15|1055885.17|
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |303258.43 |
|经营费用(万元)    |27841.45  |119454.37 |62571.68  |46628.93  |
|管理费用(万元)    |37160.66  |176376.58 |85945.90  |51986.92  |
|财务费用(万元)    |13308.92  |35950.01  |14015.16  |1619.71   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |60.11     |104.13    |62.15     |45.57     |
|营业利润(万元)    |102814.37 |765289.75 |342690.68 |204279.95 |
|投资收益(万元)    |697.32    |20803.07  |17081.19  |-8442.84  |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-531.58   |-1129.18  |758.78    |1781.06   |
|利润总额(万元)    |102282.78 |764160.57 |343449.47 |197618.17 |
|所得税(万元)      |28109.80  |232410.49 |101149.76 |54275.59  |
|净利润(万元)      |71813.33  |484423.55 |229788.38 |135036.28 |
|销售毛利率(%)     |38.66     |41.99     |36.15     |34.79     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |28.72     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |2.38      |16.55     |15.39     |16.25     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.06      |0.41      |0.47      |0.54      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |7.40      |57.79     |48.30     |28.07     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.06      |0.47      |0.50      |0.56      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |55.57     |98.27     |69.70     |37.71     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |23.93     |123.32    |67.76     |60.66     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |17.28     |110.81    |70.17     |53.80     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |92.91     |96.13     |79.65     |33.98     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |111.37    |100.51    |126.99    |41.57     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |10606024.1|10009446.8|4991984.04|2199239.21|
|负债总额(万元)  |7058038.50|6617494.49|3246633.68|1341116.88|
|流动负债(万元)  |5305988.42|4877398.36|2201627.06|1088374.20|
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |252742.68 |
|货币资金(万元)  |1562608.73|1704650.46|1074369.52|324903.47 |
|应收帐款(万元)  |86521.83  |86488.30  |36460.97  |37730.77  |
|其他应收款(万元)|306378.81 |276405.69 |67100.57  |70496.97  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |3020373.24|2927864.76|1492854.77|830960.26 |
|资产负债率(%)   |66.5474   |66.1124   |65.0369   |60.9809   |
|股东权益比率(%) |28.4779   |29.2510   |29.9050   |37.7839   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.9204    |1.9566    |2.1921    |1.8270    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.5559    |0.5937    |0.6402    |0.4626    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |898769.09 |4471279.94|1906330.30|1266908.87|
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-141996.26|-1043771.6|-302412.15|84343.91  |
|现金净流量(万元)|-142041.73|630280.94 |749466.05 |11703.52  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-56.14    |245.14    |-458.54   |-19.56    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |140.4231  |125.8572  |106.3899  |119.9855  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |-         |-         |62.4602   |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-         |-         |8.6669    |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-162456.58|-460403.52|-155182.08|-37775.72 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |163079.27 |2136100.18|1206416.03|-35332.19 |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2008-03-31    |2007-03-31    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |1562608.73    |922375.26     |69.41       |
|应收账款(万元)      |86521.83      |29982.56      |188.57      |
|其他应收款(万元)    |306378.81     |167633.06     |82.77       |
|预付账款(万元)      |994304.83     |175696.14     |465.92      |
|存货(万元)          |7239828.38    |3468189.06    |108.75      |
|流动资产合计(万元)  |10189642.58   |4764036.35    |113.89      |
|长期股权投资(万元)  |180079.14     |107740.15     |67.14       |
|递延税款借项(万元)  |72312.23      |13358.20      |441.33      |
|资产总计(万元)      |10606024.13   |5017857.99    |111.37      |
|应付账款(万元)      |920280.30     |349593.30     |163.24      |
|预收账款(万元)      |2430898.73    |956596.53     |154.12      |
|应付工资(万元)      |19537.67      |4653.65       |319.84      |
|其他应付款(万元)    |935354.09     |309323.45     |202.39      |
|一年内到期的        |              |              |            |
|长期负债(万元)      |867200.07     |195497.03     |343.59      |
|流动负债合计(万元)  |5305988.42    |1983514.70    |167.50      |
|递延税款贷项(万元)  |97966.13      |4624.84       |2018.26     |
|负债合计(万元)      |7058038.50    |3222736.96    |119.01      |
|少数股东权益(万元   |527612.39     |229460.26     |129.94      |
|股本(万元)          |687200.64     |436989.88     |57.26       |
|资本公积(万元)      |1295930.95    |542384.34     |138.93      |
|未分配利润(万元)    |475103.95     |144382.94     |229.06      |
|外币报表            |              |              |            |
|折算差额(万元)      |22590.69      |1694.82       |1232.93     |
|负债和股东          |              |              |            |
|权益总计(万元)      |10606024.13   |5017857.99    |111.37      |
|主营业务收入(万元)  |640043.58     |411413.88     |55.57       |
|减:                 |              |              |            |
|主营业务成本(万元)  |392591.26     |228051.28     |72.15       |
|减:营业费用(万元)   |27841.45      |18409.99      |51.23       |
|减:财务费用(万元)   |13308.92      |2592.69       |413.33      |
|加:外币报表        |              |              |            |
|折算差额(万元)      |22590.69      |1694.82       |1232.93     |
|销售商品、提供劳    |              |              |            |
|务收到的现金(万元)  |898769.09     |471600.26     |90.58       |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |131182.00     |51167.52      |156.38      |
|(经营)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |1029951.09    |522767.77     |97.02       |
|支付给职工以及为    |              |              |            |
|职工支付的现金(万元)|62767.30      |32410.94      |93.66       |
|支付的各项税费(万元)|193789.87     |85033.52      |127.90      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-141996.26    |-323762.61    |56.14       |
|投资所支付的现金    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |55048.50      |9611.50       |472.74      |
|(投资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |166925.68     |85429.68      |95.40       |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-162456.58    |-80544.88     |-101.70     |
|吸收投资所收到的    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |33650.74      |11518.97      |192.13      |
|再其中:子公司吸收少数股东|              |              |            |
|权益性投资所收到的现金(万元)|33650.74      |11518.97      |192.13      |
|分配股利利润或偿付利|              |              |            |
|息所支付的现金(万元)|44216.77      |23657.21      |86.91       |
|加:财务费用(万元)  |13308.92      |2592.69       |413.33      |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |1562608.73    |922375.26     |69.41       |
|减:现金期初余额(万元|1704650.46    |1074369.52    |58.67       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   411413.88|     11.58|    61234.93|     12.64|
|第二季度      |   698238.21|     19.65|   105565.07|     21.79|
|第三季度      |   307694.49|      8.66|    24888.69|      5.14|
|第四季度      |  2135314.54|     60.10|   292734.87|     60.43|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |   230387.16|     12.86|    41023.69|     17.85|
|第二季度      |   436584.64|     24.37|    86034.17|     37.44|
|第三季度      |   183898.44|     10.26|    18279.09|      7.95|
|第四季度      |   940962.91|     52.51|    84451.42|     36.75|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2008-03-31
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.4604|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.0956|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0435|    0.9673|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      0.4279|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.2413|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |      1.70|     -5.81|     -0.94|     -1.77|
|总资产现金回收率      |      9.42|      0.84|     -8.37|      0.40|
|净利润率              |      2.87|      1.84|      1.35|      1.69|
|应收帐款              |     -0.21|      0.24|      0.21|     -0.02|
|经营预警综合指数      |      3.87|     -1.08|     -2.48|     -0.08|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.78|     -3.75|     -1.64|     -1.53|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -4.23|     -2.05|     -4.26|     -2.10|
|留存盈利              |     -5.69|      3.06|      6.06|     18.10|
|净资产收益率          |    235.00|    191.24|    180.67|    198.39|
|投资预警综合指数      |     44.06|     37.12|     35.58|     42.21|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.82|      0.66|      0.84|      0.54|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.82|      0.66|      0.84|      0.54|
|支付现金股利          |      1.21|      0.77|      1.00|      1.69|
|银行贷款率            |      0.67|          |      0.02|          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.81|      0.68|      0.87|      0.57|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |     15.04|     10.88|      9.90|     12.87|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   无警   |   无警   |   轻警   |   无警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
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